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YUMYum! Brands, Inc.Hold6.4·$155.19+0.57%
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Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Yum! Brands franchises KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill through over 63,000 restaurants in 155 countries, with 97% of units operated by franchisees. Revenue comes from franchise royalties (4-6% of sales) and company-owned restaurants; total system sales... Read more

$155.19+1.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 20 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.97%
IncomeYield1.94%(5y avg 1.81%)Payout46.45%sustainable
Stop $148.64Target $156.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$174.23+12.3%22 analysts
$156.80our TP
$155.19price
$174.23mean
$147
$200

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.9
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$42.5B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn20.5%
ROE
Rev Growth15.2%
Beta0.57
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$220+41.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Kathleen K. Oberg appointed as director effective April 1, 2026; will stand for election at next annual meeting. Standard non-employee director compensation. No committee assignment disclosed at time of filing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Keith Barr resigned from Board effective February 10, 2026. Reason: recent appointment to a leadership position outside of YUM; no disagreement with Company on any matter relating to operations, policies, or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
8.4
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $145.44Resistance $155.45

Price Targets

$149
$157
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YUM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $156.80 (+1.0%), stop $148.64 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YUM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $156.80 (+1.1% upside). Target $156.80 (+1.0%), stop $148.64 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $148.64.

What are the risks of investing in YUM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is YUM overvalued or undervalued?

Yum! Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about YUM?

33 analysts cover YUM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $174.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?Yum! Brands franchises KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill through over 63,000 restaurants in 155...

Yum! Brands franchises KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill through over 63,000 restaurants in 155 countries, with 97% of units operated by franchisees. Revenue comes from franchise royalties (4-6% of sales) and company-owned restaurants; total system sales exceeded $68B in 2025. Yum China is the largest franchisee, paying a 3% royalty on mainland China system sales.

Related stocks: QSR (Restaurant Brands International) · YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.) · MCD (McDonald's Corporation) · EAT (Brinker International, Inc.) · CAVA (CAVA Group, Inc.)
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