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LSPDLightspeed Commerce Inc. SubordSell5.8·$9.55+0.10%
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Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord (LSPD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and multi-location retailers, restaurants, golf course operators, and other businesses. It offers a cloud-based commerce platform that connects suppliers, merchants,... Read more

$9.55+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#45 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.98%
Stop $8.88Target $9.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$10.73+12.4%13 analysts
$9.77our TP
$9.55price
$10.73mean
$9
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-22.2
Profit Mgn-11.8%
ROE-9.2%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta1.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$17+78.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.0
Bollinger
2.4
52w Position
3.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
4.6
Fcf Quality
4.6
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 5%, FCF yield 5.0%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.83Resistance $9.97

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LSPD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.55: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $8.88. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LSPD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.77 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $8.88. Stop-loss: $8.88.

What are the risks of investing in LSPD?

Target reached (-2.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is LSPD overvalued or undervalued?

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LSPD?

19 analysts cover LSPD with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subord do?Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and...

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. engages in sale of cloud-based software subscriptions and payments solutions for single and multi-location retailers, restaurants, golf course operators, and other businesses. It offers a cloud-based commerce platform that connects suppliers, merchants, and consumers to enable omnichannel experiences and engage with consumers, manage operations, accept payments, and grow business. The company's cloud platform is designed around interrelated elements, such as omni-channel consumer experience, a comprehensive back-office operations management suite to improve customers' efficiency and insight, and the facilitation of payments. Its platform functionalities include full omni-channel capabilities, point of sale (POS), product and menu management, kitchen display system (KDS), employee and inventory management comprising ordering, analytics and reporting, multi-location connectivity, order anywhere and curbside pickup functionality, loyalty, and customer management solutions. The company also offers tailored financial solutions, such as Lightspeed Payments and Lightspeed Capital; Lightspeed Restaurant, a unified hospitality commerce offering; Lightspeed Retail, a retail commerce offering; Lightspeed eCommerce; Lightspeed Wholesale; and Lightspeed NuORDER integration to order from various brands. In addition, it sells hardware, including tablets, customer-facing displays, KDS screens, receipt printers, networking hardware, cash drawers, payment terminals, servers, stands, bar-code scanners, and an assortment of accessories, as well as provide installation and implementation services. The company was formerly known as Lightspeed POS Inc. and changed its name to Lightspeed Commerce Inc. in August 2021. Lightspeed Commerce Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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