Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%).
Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems for US defense and space programs across three end markets: Hypersonics & Strategic Missile Defense (32%), Tactical Missiles & IDS (32%), and... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Karman Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Why Karman Holdings Stock Is Suddenly Soaring - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS KRMN Stock Grinds Higher As Record FY2025 Fuels Space And Defense Momentum - StocksToTrade — StocksToTrade positive
- NEWS Karman (NYSE:KRMN) Trading Down 6.7% - What's Next? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS UBS Group AG Purchases 471,894 Shares of Karman Holdings Inc. $KRMN - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Earnings Preview: KRMN to Report Financial Results Post-market on May 12 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomertop three customers52%10-K Item 1A: 'Our three largest customers accounted for approximately 51.5% of revenue during the year ended December 31, 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02MEDIUMCEO Anthony Koblinski retiring effective March 23, 2026; will remain a Board member. Board appointed Jonathan Rambeau (former President of L3Harris Communications & Spectrum Dominance segment) as CEO effective March 23, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $47.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $44.14. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $91.87 (+93.8% upside). Prior stop was $44.14. Stop-loss: $44.14.
Concentration risk — Customer: top three customers (51.5%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Karman Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 208.0 (forward 51.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover KRMN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $106.
What does Karman Holdings Inc. do?Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and...
Karman Holdings designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical payload protection, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems for US defense and space programs across three end markets: Hypersonics & Strategic Missile Defense (32%), Tactical Missiles & IDS (32%), and Space & Launch (36%). The company generated $471.5M in revenue in 2025 (+36.6% YoY) with ~80 customers and over 130 programs; the three largest customers accounted for ~51.5% of revenue.