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ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.Sell5.7·$16.20+1.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Elmet Group combines strong growth and modest insider buying with a quality score below the engine's floor and a failed momentum gate, leaving the near-term setup mixed.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below FloorStable
  • Momentum Gate FailureStable
  • Insider Buying SignalStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and... Read more

$16.20+9.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#29 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $15.22Target $17.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$20.50+26.5%4 analysts
$17.43our TP
$16.20price
$20.50mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 17, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)32.5
Mkt Cap$523M
EV/EBITDA26.2
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE
Rev Growth20.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.3
Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
2.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.69Resistance $22.51

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.20: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.22. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.43 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.22. Stop-loss: $15.22.

What are the risks of investing in ELMT?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is ELMT overvalued or undervalued?

The Elmet Group Co. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELMT?

10 analysts cover ELMT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does The Elmet Group Co. do?The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace,...

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and Engineered Microwave Products divisions. It provides critical refractory materials, including tungsten, molybdenum, niobium, tantalum, and specialized alloys. The company also offers radio frequency and microwave components and systems, such as waveguides, circulators, loads, pressure windows, and automatic tuning systems that allow for the powering of radar, missile tracking, directed energy systems, semiconductor fabrication, fusion research, and advanced industrial processing. The Elmet Group Co. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.

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