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ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.Sell6.5·$23.62
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Elmet is growing fast (35% YoY, with quarterly revenue up from $46.4M to $66.4M in five quarters) and has beaten the last 2 earnings reports, but only 7.5% upside remains to the analyst target, 26% of shares are sold short, and quality is just under the 4.0 floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Margins Weak Quality↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Earnings Beats Turning Profitable→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.62: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality.

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and... Read more

$23.62-1.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 65 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $21.97Analyst target $23.38(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$27.50+16.4%4 analysts
$23.62price
$27.50mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.62: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — The Elmet Group Co.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)40.0
Mkt Cap$719M
EV/EBITDA59.9
Profit Mgn-1.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth35.2%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
10.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $18.08Resistance $24.60

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.62: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.97. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELMT stock price target?

Analyst target $23.38 reached (−1.0% from $23.62); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $21.97. Stop-loss: $21.97.

What are the risks of investing in ELMT?

Target reached (-1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is ELMT overvalued or undervalued?

The Elmet Group Co. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 40.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELMT?

10 analysts cover ELMT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $28.

What does The Elmet Group Co. do?The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace,...

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and Engineered Microwave Products divisions. It provides critical refractory materials, including tungsten, molybdenum, niobium, tantalum, and specialized alloys. The company also offers radio frequency and microwave components and systems, such as waveguides, circulators, loads, pressure windows, and automatic tuning systems that allow for the powering of radar, missile tracking, directed energy systems, semiconductor fabrication, fusion research, and advanced industrial processing. The Elmet Group Co. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.

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