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BETABeta Technologies, Inc.Sell4.8·$17.55+2.45%
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Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, batteries, and charging infrastructure from its ~188,000 sq ft Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont. Revenue of $35.6M in... Read more

$17.55+56.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#37 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $16.32Target $27.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$31.50+79.5%8 analysts
$27.41our TP
$17.55price
$31.50mean
$37

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Beta Technologies, Inc.

About Beta Technologies, Inc.

Beta Technologies reported $35.6 million in revenue for fiscal 2025—up from $15.1 million in 2024—while carrying an unfilled civil aircraft backlog of 891 units valued at $3.47 billion, of which 289 are firm orders and 602 are options. The company's 188,000 square foot Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont targets production of more than 300 aircraft annually at maturity, with site control and permits for expansion to over 355,000 square feet. End markets span cargo and logistics (UPS, Bristow), medical transport (United Therapeutics, Metro Aviation), defense (U.S. Military), and passenger operations.

Beta Technologies generates revenue through four streams: aircraft sales to commercial and military customers; replacement battery sales in the aftermarket, with an estimated 18-20 sets required over a 20-year aircraft lifecycle generating approximately $13 million in aftermarket revenue per aircraft at current pricing; propulsion system sales as a merchant supplier to other eVTOL manufacturers; and ground support equipment including Charge Cubes deployed at 56 airports and logistics hubs globally. The company signed a contract to supply up to $1 billion in pusher motors to EVE Air Mobility (Embraer-backed), and has delivered lift motors for EVE's proof-of-concept aircraft. Additional motor programs include a subcontract with General Dynamics Applied Physical Sciences for a DARPA advanced propulsion program for undersea vehicles. Battery cells are commercially sourced and integrated into proprietary 225 kWh pack assemblies. GE Aerospace made a $300 million equity investment in Beta Technologies to co-develop a hybrid electric turbogenerator for defense and civil applications.

Show full overview

Beta Technologies' entire commercial aircraft revenue model depends on FAA Type Certification, which no electric aircraft had received as of the filing date. The company targets FAA Part 33 certification for its H500A electric motor in the first half of 2026—supported partly by a Hartzell propeller receiving FAA Part 35 certification in July 2025—followed by Part 23 aircraft certification approximately 12 months after motor certification. A Special Federal Aviation Regulation for eVTOL aircraft (SFAR, adopted December 2024) adds an operational approval layer beyond type certification before operators may conduct commercial eVTOL flights, and the 10-K acknowledges that substantially changed FAA regulations may require aircraft redesign and cause scheduling delays.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Beta Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Beta Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 56%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.2
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA-6.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-73.1%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV113%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Dean Kamen voluntarily resigned from the Board effective February 18, 2026 to avoid potential distractions. Also served on Compensation Committee. Nominating Committee review found no violations of law. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
4.0
Bollinger
4.2
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $14.31Resistance $19.75

Price Targets

$16
$27
A.Upside+56.2%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BETA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.32. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the BETA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.41 (+56.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.32. Stop-loss: $16.32.

What are the risks of investing in BETA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BETA overvalued or undervalued?

Beta Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BETA?

14 analysts cover BETA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Beta Technologies, Inc. do?Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric...

Beta Technologies is a pre-commercial electric aircraft OEM developing the ALIA CTOL and ALIA VTOL aircraft, electric propulsion systems, batteries, and charging infrastructure from its ~188,000 sq ft Final Assembly Facility in South Burlington, Vermont. Revenue of $35.6M in 2025 comes primarily from propulsion system sales, defense contracts, and charging infrastructure; no certified aircraft have been delivered yet. The company has a civil aircraft backlog of 891 aircraft worth $3.47 billion.

Related stocks: LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · VVX (V2X, Inc.)
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