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PKEPark Aerospace Corp.Sell6.2·$26.20
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Park Aerospace is a small-cap aerospace materials maker with strong 27% YoY growth, a 3-of-4 earnings beat record and 41% analyst upside, but heavy insider selling, weak price momentum and customer concentration keep sizing at zero.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Balance Sheet Strength→Stable
  • Strong Growth Earnings Beats→Stable
  • Analyst Upside To Target→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 29, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.20: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials.

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film... Read more

$26.20+37.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#13 of 65 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.47%
IncomeYield1.91%(5y avg 2.76%)Payout70.42%
Stop $24.37Analyst target $36.13(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst consensus$42.50+62.2%2 analysts
$36.13Analyst target
$26.20price
$42.50mean
$43

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.20: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 12, 202775d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 38%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.9
P/E (Fwd)51.4
Mkt Cap$577M
EV/EBITDA25.8
Profit Mgn18.4%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth26.9%
Beta0.39
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerten largest customers71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the Company's fiscal years ended March 1, 2026, March 2, 2025, and March 3, 2024, the Company's ten largest customers accounted for approximately 71%, 66%, and 64%, respectively, of net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersubtier suppliers of GE Aerospace39%
    10-K Item 1: 'During the Company's 2026, 2025, and 2024 fiscal years, 39.3%, 39.8%, and 37.7%, respectively, of the Company's total worldwide net sales were to affiliate and non-affiliate subtier suppliers of GE Aerospace, a leading manufacturer of aerospace engines.'
  • LOWCustomerAerojet Rocketdyne12%
    10-K Item 1: 'In addition, sales to Aerojet Rocketdyne accounted for 11.7% of the Company's total worldwide sales in the 2026 fiscal year.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has qualified alternate sources of supply for many, but not all, of its raw materials, but certain raw materials are produced by only one supplier.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesINSIDER 1.28%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.54Resistance $31.25

Price Targets

$24
$36
A.Upside+37.9%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 1.28%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-12 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PKE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.20: Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.37. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PKE stock price target?

Analyst target: $36.13 (+37.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.37. Stop-loss: $24.37.

What are the risks of investing in PKE?

Concentration risk — Customer: ten largest customers (71.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source raw materials; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is PKE overvalued or undervalued?

Park Aerospace Corp. trades at a P/E of 36.9 (forward 51.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PKE?

6 analysts cover PKE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Park Aerospace Corp. do?Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite...

Park Aerospace Corp., an aerospace company, develops and manufactures solution and hot-melt advanced composite materials used to produce composite structures for the aerospace market in North America, Asia, and Europe. It offers advanced composite materials, including film adhesives and lightning strike protection materials used to produce primary and secondary structures for jet engines, large and regional transport aircraft, military aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, business jets, general aviation aircraft, and rotary wing aircraft. The company also provides specialty ablative materials for rocket motors and nozzles; and designed materials for radome applications. In addition, it designs and fabricates composite parts, structures and assemblies, and low volume tooling for the aerospace industry. The company was formerly known as Park Electrochemical Corp. and changed its name to Park Aerospace Corp. in July 2019. Park Aerospace Corp. was incorporated in 1954 and is based in Westbury, New York.

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