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AVEXAEVEX Corp.Hold6.3·$18.36+1.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AEVEX Corp pairs positive news sentiment and an industry-leading growth rank with a rich forward multiple, an EXTREME insider-selling gate failure, and a stock still sitting at the bottom of its 52-week range.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Sentiment Growth LeadershipDeteriorating
  • Extreme Insider Selling Neutral SignalStable
  • Rich Forward Multiple Vs PegStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested,... Read more

$18.36+71.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#5 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $17.03Target $31.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$36.00+96.1%7 analysts
$31.32our TP
$18.36price
$36.00mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-22
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Analyst upside: 71%
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.0
P/E (Fwd)32.8
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA20.6
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE
Rev Growth99.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
4.0
Support Resistance
5.5
Bollinger
5.8
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5INSIDER 5.72%=EXTREMEA.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $13.88Resistance $23.62

Price Targets

$17
$31
A.Upside+71.1%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 5.72%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVEX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $31.32 (+70.6%), stop $17.03 (−7.8%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.32 (+71.1% upside). Target $31.32 (+70.6%), stop $17.03 (−7.8%), A.R:R 4.7:1. Stop-loss: $17.03.

What are the risks of investing in AVEX?

Negative momentum.

Is AVEX overvalued or undervalued?

AEVEX Corp. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 32.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AVEX?

15 analysts cover AVEX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $36.

What does AEVEX Corp. do?AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance...

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California.

Related stocks: ISSC (Innovative Solutions and Suppor) · SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.) · ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) · RGR (Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.) · CDRE (Cadre Holdings, Inc.)
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