Kimberly-Clark has delivered four consecutive earnings beats with estimates trending upward, but the stock has already traded through its resistance-based price target to a position 1.1% above it, paired with high leverage at a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.7, a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day moving average, and free cash flow converting at only 50% of net income — a combination that makes the current entry unattractive.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Conversion Shortfall→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Price Above Resistance Target→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $108.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source and single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care and tissue products — Huggies, Kleenex, Depend among the key brands — in two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Walmart represented approximately 16% of 2025 net sales from continuing operations; the company had... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $108.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source and single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Kimberly-Clark Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Alessandra Capital Management, LLC's Kimberly-Clark Corp(KMB) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation) posts narrow Q4 2025 EPS beat, slight year-over-year revenue decline weighs on share pr — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.16%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart Inc., represented approximately 16% in 2025 and 2024 and 15% in 2023 of our net sales from continuing operations.'
- HIGHSuppliersole-source and single-source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'We have a complex network of suppliers, including a number of sole-source and single-source suppliers for certain commodities and raw material inputs.'
- MEDIUMGeographicmarkets outside the U.S.10-K Item 1A: 'About half of our net sales come from markets outside the U.S.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-05Item 5.02LOWAndrew Scribner, VP and Controller, to depart May 22, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. Nelson Urdaneta, SVP and CFO, will act as principal accounting officer on interim basis. Clean handoff; no reason cited beyond voluntary departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $108.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source and single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $102.77 reached (−5.2%), stop $103.10 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $102.77 reached (−5.2% from $108.40); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $102.77 reached (−5.2%), stop $103.10 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $103.10.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source and single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.5): -1.5.
Kimberly-Clark Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
21 analysts cover KMB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $114.
What does Kimberly-Clark Corporation do?Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care and tissue products — Huggies, Kleenex, Depend among the key brands — in two...
Kimberly-Clark manufactures personal care and tissue products — Huggies, Kleenex, Depend among the key brands — in two segments: North America and International Personal Care. Walmart represented approximately 16% of 2025 net sales from continuing operations; the company had approximately 36,000 employees globally at December 31, 2025.