Value
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.8 |
| P/S | 9.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.6 |
| PEG | 4.5 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 13.1x
- ▸PEG: 2.00
KMB · Why this verdict
Why Kimberly-Clark (KMB) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.8 |
| Gross margin | 3.4 |
| Op margin | 7.9 |
| Net margin | 6.4 |
| Current ratio | 3.1 |
| FCF quality | 4.0 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 112%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 50% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.2 |
| EPS growth | 5.6 |
Momentum
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
| erm sentiment | 6.1 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $689,696 (0.002% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.2 |
| quality rank | 8.4 |
| growth rank | 4.2 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.8 |
| support resistance | 3.3 |
| 52w position | 4.3 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.7 |
| days to cover | 0.6 |
| volatility | 5.9 |
| put call | 5.8 |
| implied vol | 7.5 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 1.3 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.6 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 517.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:63d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.89
Upside
+5.2%
Downside
5.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.7 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 6.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.9<1.5@spot, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.89 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.6, Catalyst at 6.5, and Quality at 6.1; the weakest are Technical at 4.1, Momentum at 4.3, and Growth at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.89 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.