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CHDChurch & Dwight Company, Inc.Sell5.2·$97.08-1.13%
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Church & Dwight Company, Inc. (CHD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. At $97.08, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. markets (82.0%); Concentration risk — Product: seven power brands (70.0%).

Church & Dwight develops and markets household and personal care products under brands including ARM & HAMMER, TROJAN, WATERPIK, and OXICLEAN across Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products segments. Walmart accounts for approximately 23% of net sales;... Read more

$97.08+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#10 of 13 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.85%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 1.16%)Payout39.23%sustainable
Stop $92.86Target $97.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$102.53+5.6%19 analysts
$97.48our TP
$97.08price
$102.53mean
$74
$115

Sell if holding. At $97.08, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. markets (82.0%); Concentration risk — Product: seven power brands (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. markets (82.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: seven power brands (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.3
P/E (Fwd)23.9
Mkt Cap$23.3B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta0.47
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$75-22.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart is our largest customer, accounting for approximately 23% of net sales in each of 2025, 2024, and 2023'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop four customers44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top four customers accounted for approximately 44%, 43%, and 44% of net sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHGeographicU.S. markets82%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 82% of our sales were generated in U.S. markets'
  • HIGHProductseven power brands70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Seven of those brands are designated as "power brands" ... represent approximately 70% of our net sales and profits'
  • MEDIUMSupplierTata Chemicals (Soda Ash) Partners
    10-K Item 1: 'a partnership agreement with Tata Chemicals (Soda Ash) Partners ... We fulfill a substantial amount of our soda ash supply requirements through the partnership'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source contract manufacturers (certain products)
    10-K Item 1A: 'sole source contract manufacturers and suppliers for certain products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
2.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
6.2
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $92.57Resistance $99.47

Price Targets

$93
$97
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $97.08, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. markets (82.0%); Concentration risk — Product: seven power brands (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $92.86. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.48 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $92.86. Stop-loss: $92.86.

What are the risks of investing in CHD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. markets (82.0%); Concentration risk — Product: seven power brands (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CHD overvalued or undervalued?

Church & Dwight Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.3 (forward 23.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHD?

26 analysts cover CHD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Church & Dwight Company, Inc. do?Church & Dwight develops and markets household and personal care products under brands including ARM & HAMMER, TROJAN,...

Church & Dwight develops and markets household and personal care products under brands including ARM & HAMMER, TROJAN, WATERPIK, and OXICLEAN across Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products segments. Walmart accounts for approximately 23% of net sales; seven power brands generate roughly 70% of net sales and profits. International revenue represented approximately 18% of consolidated net sales in 2025.

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