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KVUEKenvue Inc.Buy Wait5.3·$19.33
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Three consecutive earnings beats — including a 23% positive surprise in the most recent quarter — and solid technical momentum have carried the stock above its near-term take-profit resistance level, leaving the reward-to-risk ratio negative and the setup more consistent with a hold than a new entry; a flagged dividend sustainability concern adds a tail risk for income-oriented investors.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Take Profit Ceiling→Stable
  • Solid Momentum Flattening Slope↓Deteriorating
  • Dividend Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Earnings in 1 day (2026-10-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $18.91. Price sits above the model's entry target of $18.91; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's) — sold in more than 165 countries. The company generated $15.1 billion... Read more

$19.33-12.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.14%
IncomeYield4.31%Payout96.51%at-risk
Entry $18.91(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $18.15Analyst target $16.96(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$19.50+0.9%12 analysts
$19.33price
$19.50mean
$18
$23

Wait for pullback to $18.91. Price sits above the model's entry target of $18.91; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kenvue Inc.

About Kenvue Inc.

Kenvue generated $15.1 billion in Net sales in FY2025, marketing consumer health products in more than 165 countries through three segments: Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec, Nicorette), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's). The company employed approximately 22,000 people at December 28, 2025, distributed across APAC (30%), EMEA (28%), North America (23%), and LATAM (19%). In-house facilities delivered roughly 60% of sales volume in FY2025.

Kenvue earns revenue selling over-the-counter medicines and personal care products at retail and through digital channels. The Self Care segment competes with Haleon, Procter & Gamble, and Reckitt Benckiser Group; Skin Health and Beauty competes with Beiersdorf, Estée Lauder, L'Oréal, Procter & Gamble, and Unilever; Essential Health competes with Church & Dwight and Colgate-Palmolive. Product development is supported by approximately 1,600 scientists, doctors, pharmacists, and engineers operating through a network of global innovation hubs. Principal raw materials — resins, vegetable oils, pulp, and oleochemicals — are purchased primarily from third-party suppliers; no single supplier provides a significant portion of total material requirements, though certain raw and packaging materials are sourced from single-source or limited suppliers. The company's digital marketing approach incorporates influencer and celebrity partnerships alongside precision targeting.

Show full overview

A pending acquisition by Kimberly-Clark, announced November 2, 2025 and approved by Kenvue shareholders on January 29, 2026, would convert each Kenvue share into 0.14625 K-C shares plus $3.50 cash. The exchange ratio is fixed and does not adjust for K-C stock price fluctuations before closing, exposing Kenvue shareholders to K-C market risk during the interim period. The 10-K notes foreign regulatory approvals remain outstanding as of the filing date, and that failure to consummate the transaction could adversely affect Kenvue's business, financial condition, and stock price.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

From Kenvue Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$37.1B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta0.45
Dividend4.31%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV64%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Amit Banati to step down effective May 12, 2026; announced February 12, 2026. Chief Accounting Officer Heather Howlett appointed interim CFO effective May 12, 2026. No permanent replacement named. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.7
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.16Resistance $19.89

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KVUE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.91. Price sits above the model's entry target of $18.91; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $16.96 reached (−12.2%), stop $18.15 (−6.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KVUE stock price target?

Analyst target $16.96 reached (−12.2% from $19.33); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $16.96 reached (−12.2%), stop $18.15 (−6.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $18.15.

What are the risks of investing in KVUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Weak growth.

Is KVUE overvalued or undervalued?

Kenvue Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KVUE?

20 analysts cover KVUE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Kenvue Inc. do?Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin...

Kenvue manufactures and markets consumer health products across three segments — Self Care (Tylenol, Zyrtec), Skin Health and Beauty (Neutrogena, Aveeno), and Essential Health (BAND-AID, Listerine, Johnson's) — sold in more than 165 countries. The company generated $15.1 billion in Net sales in FY2025 with approximately 22,000 employees.

Related stocks: ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · PG (Procter & Gamble Company (The)) · UL (Unilever PLC) · CHD (Church & Dwight Company, Inc.) · KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation)
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