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INDBIndependent Bank Corp.Hold6.4·$83.27+1.81%
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Independent Bank Corp. (INDB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%).

Independent Bank Corp. is the holding company for Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts trust company with over 150 retail branches primarily serving Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern New Hampshire, and Rhode Island. At December 31, 2025, total assets were $24.9B and... Read more

$83.27-2.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#14 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.07%(5y avg 3.26%)Payout47.91%sustainable
Stop $79.93Target $81.64(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$90.57+8.8%7 analysts
$81.64our TP
$83.27price
$90.57mean
$82
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth51.6%
Beta0.80
Dividend3.07%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$70-15.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMassachusetts and New England
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of the loans the Company originates are secured by properties located in, or are made to businesses that operate in, Massachusetts and the broader New England area'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans77%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, 77.2% of the Company's loan portfolio consisted of commercial loans'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-13Item 5.02LOW
    Mary L. Lentz retired from the Board effective April 11, 2026 upon reaching age 72, in accordance with Company governance policies requiring retirement at 72. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Scott Smith, director since April 2019, notified the Company on March 10, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at the May 14, 2026 annual meeting. Decision not due to any disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.59Resistance $83.31

Price Targets

$80
$82
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INDB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $81.64 (-2.0%), stop $79.93 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INDB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.64 (-2.0% upside). Target $81.64 (-2.0%), stop $79.93 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $79.93.

What are the risks of investing in INDB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Massachusetts and New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (77.2%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is INDB overvalued or undervalued?

Independent Bank Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about INDB?

13 analysts cover INDB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Independent Bank Corp. do?Independent Bank Corp. is the holding company for Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts trust company with over 150 retail...

Independent Bank Corp. is the holding company for Rockland Trust, a Massachusetts trust company with over 150 retail branches primarily serving Eastern Massachusetts, Worcester County, southern New Hampshire, and Rhode Island. At December 31, 2025, total assets were $24.9B and total deposits $20.1B; commercial loans comprised 77.2% of the loan portfolio. The bank completed the acquisition of Enterprise Bancorp on July 1, 2025.

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