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HUBSHubSpot, Inc.Hold5.7·$186.82+0.21%
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HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $186.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B companies globally. The company sells primarily via subscription, generating $3.1B in 2025 revenue from 288,706 customers in 135+ countries. Solutions Partners... Read more

$186.82+38.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#44 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.88%
Stop $173.24Target $257.75(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$280.16+50.0%33 analysts
$257.75our TP
$186.82price
$280.16mean
$450

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $186.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)98.1
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA92.1
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$1020+446.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Ron Gill to resign as director effective June 30, 2026; no disagreement cited. Mike Berry appointed as new Class III director effective April 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $175.55Resistance $262.38

Price Targets

$173
$258
A.Upside+38.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $186.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $257.75 (+38.0%), stop $173.24 (−7.8%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $257.75 (+38.4% upside). Target $257.75 (+38.0%), stop $173.24 (−7.8%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $173.24.

What are the risks of investing in HUBS?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HUBS overvalued or undervalued?

HubSpot, Inc. trades at a P/E of 98.1 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HUBS?

42 analysts cover HUBS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $280.

What does HubSpot, Inc. do?HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B...

HubSpot provides an AI-powered customer platform for marketing, sales, and service teams, targeting mid-market B2B companies globally. The company sells primarily via subscription, generating $3.1B in 2025 revenue from 288,706 customers in 135+ countries. Solutions Partners referred approximately 49% of 2025 revenue, creating channel concentration.

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