GeoPark has strong returns (ROE 29%) and a low forward P/E of 7.6x with rising estimates and revenue, but the price is 19.0% above the $9.54 analyst target and insiders are selling.
Thesis pillars
- High Returns Strong Quality→Stable
- Rising Revenue↓Deteriorating
- Inconsistent Earnings Record↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026
Geopark Ltd (GPRK) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Wait for pullback to $10.47. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.47; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The... Read more
Wait for pullback to $10.47. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.47; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-13.3% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Geopark Ltd
Latest news
- NEWS Geopark (GPRK) to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Renaissance Technologies LLC Buys 578,178 Shares of Geopark Ltd $GPRK - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS GeoPark director granted 4,392 shares at $9.74 | GPRK Insider Trading - Stock Titan — Stock Titan neutral
- NEWS GeoPark director granted 4,392 shares at $9.74 | GPRK Insider Trading - stocktitan.net — stocktitan.net neutral
- NEWS Geopark (NYSE:GPRK) Shares Up 3% - Still a Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $10.47. Price sits above the model's entry target of $10.47; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-13.3% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $9.54 reached (−13.3%), stop $9.95 (−10.6%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $9.54 reached (−13.3% from $11.00); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $9.54 reached (−13.3%), stop $9.95 (−10.6%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $9.95.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Geopark Ltd trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover GPRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Geopark Ltd do?GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil,...
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in May 2009. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.