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Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) reserves. The company owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns gathering systems,... Read more

$14.01+10.9% upside
Score 6.3/10Target $15.54Reward/Risk 0.9:1

TrendMatrix rates Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $14.01 with +10.9% upside to the $15.54 price target. Overall score: 6.3/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.9:1.

Passes 2/4 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.5Qual5.2Grw8.2Mom3.8Sent7.5Ins7.0Peer4.4Tech4.1Risk6.46.3OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Attractive valuation
+ Strong growth profile
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Negative momentum

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn13.7%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth36.8%
Beta-0.40
Dividend14.35%
Analysts12
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNR stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 6.3/10.

What is the MNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.54 (+10.9% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $12.27.

What are the risks of investing in MNR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is MNR overvalued or undervalued?

Mach Natural Resources LP trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MNR?

12 analysts cover MNR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Mach Natural Resources LP do?Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and...

Mach Natural Resources LP, an independent upstream oil and gas company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGL) reserves. The company owns a portfolio of midstream assets, as well as owns gathering systems, processing plants. and water infrastructure. It also operates proved developed producing (PDP) wells. The company has operations in Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas and the panhandle of Texas; the San Juan Basin region of New Mexico and Colorado; and the Permian Basin region of West Texas. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

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62 NEUTRAL
20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $12.65Res $14.20

Price Targets

$12
$16
Upside+10.9%
Reward/Risk0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:3.8<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:1.1<2.0
Suitability: Aggressive
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 3.8<5.0
Risk/Reward 1.1<2.0