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SDSandRidge Energy, Inc.Sell7.5·$14.71
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

SandRidge Energy pairs a cheap valuation (8.9x forward P/E, PEG 0.21) and high-margin compounder quality with a strong 3-of-4 earnings beat streak, but near-term technicals have turned bearish and the stock has already reached its analyst price target, favoring a wait-for-pullback approach over an immediate add.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Vs Earnings→Stable
  • High Margin Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SandRidge Energy, Inc. (SD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.71 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mid-Continent region.

SandRidge Energy, Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the United States Mid-Continent region. As of December 31, 2025, it holds interests in 1,446 gross (825 net) producing wells, and one active drilling rig. The company was... Read more

$14.71-19.1% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 49 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.39%
IncomeYield3.54%Payout21.97%sustainable
Stop $13.97Analyst target $11.90(reached)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst consensus$14.00-4.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.71 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mid-Continent region. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mid-Continent region
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.6
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$545M
EV/EBITDA3.6
Profit Mgn46.1%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth48.0%
Beta0.67
Dividend3.54%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicMid-Continent region
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our operations are located in the Mid-Continent region, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a limited number of major geographic areas'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-16Item 1.01LOW
    Board approved Amendment No. 3 to the Tax Benefits Preservation Plan, extending its expiration from July 1, 2026 to July 1, 2029, to be submitted to stockholders for approval at the 2027 Annual Meeting.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-16Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders approved an amendment extending the expiration date of the 2016 Omnibus Incentive Plan to June 10, 2036; routine compensatory plan extension, not a departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    Director Randolph C. Read notified the company he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting and will serve until his term expires; the company states the decision was not due to any disagreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.32Resistance $14.85

Price Targets

A.Upside-19.1%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.1% upside)
! News modifier -2: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.71 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mid-Continent region. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.97. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the SD stock price target?

Analyst target $11.90 reached (−19.1% from $14.71); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $13.97. Stop-loss: $13.97.

What are the risks of investing in SD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mid-Continent region; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is SD overvalued or undervalued?

SandRidge Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SD?

10 analysts cover SD with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does SandRidge Energy, Inc. do?SandRidge Energy, Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the United...

SandRidge Energy, Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the United States Mid-Continent region. As of December 31, 2025, it holds interests in 1,446 gross (825 net) producing wells, and one active drilling rig. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Related stocks: DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · REPX (Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.) · MNR (Mach Natural Resources LP) · KRP (Kimbell Royalty Partners) · CRGY (Crescent Energy Company)
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