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DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.Buy Wait7.1·$26.71-0.60%
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Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $24.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $24.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States. Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 594 counties... Read more

$26.71+8.7% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.26%
IncomeYield9.51%(5y avg 10.70%)Payout200.84%at-risk
Entry $24.38(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $23.04Target $28.31(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1

Wait for pullback to $24.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $24.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn40.9%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth36.4%
Beta0.51
Dividend9.51%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C5.20bearish
IV148%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.6
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
3.5
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.60Resistance $28.89

Price Targets

$23
$24
$28
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $24.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $26.71. Engine's entry $24.38 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $28.31 (+6.0%), stop $23.04 (−15.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.31 (+8.7% upside). Target $28.31 (+6.0%), stop $23.04 (−15.9%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $23.04.

What are the risks of investing in DMLP?

Negative momentum.

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

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What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States. Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 594 counties and parishes in 28 states; and net profits interests, which represent net profits overriding royalty interests in various properties owned by the operating partnership. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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