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DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.Buy Now7.5·$27.50+2.23%
Buy NowHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Dorchester Minerals combines best-in-class quality metrics — a perfect 9/9 financial health score, 41% margins, and free cash flow running at 141% of net income — with 36% year-over-year revenue growth at a PEG of 0.30; the near-term setup requires patience as price momentum consolidates, and a put/call ratio of 4.33 along with a yield trap warning warrant monitoring before committing to a full position.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality MetricsStable
  • Strong Growth Attractive Absolute ValuationStable
  • Momentum Pullback Above 200day MaDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy Now (conditional)GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Conditional: momentum 5.8/10 (below 6.0 threshold), analyst targets unavail — below strong-conviction threshold. Size accordingly.

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Buy at $27.50 (limit $26.95). A.R:R 0.0:1 at $27.50 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $27.42 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$-0 per share to target.

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working... Read more

$27.50+1.7% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.21%
IncomeYield11.85%(5y avg 10.70%)Payout200.84%at-risk
Entry $26.95(at market)Stop $25.95Target $27.42(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Buy at $27.50 (limit $26.95). A.R:R 0.0:1 at $27.50 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $27.42 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$-0 per share to target. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=energy 2/10). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn40.9%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth36.4%
Beta0.52
Dividend11.85%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV94%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExxon Mobil and Chevron (combined operators)25%
    10-K Item 1: 'Royalty revenues from properties operated by Exxon Mobil Corporation and its subsidiaries and Chevron Corporation and its subsidiaries, together, represented approximately 25% of total operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicBakken and Permian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the properties subject to the NPI are properties located in the Bakken region and Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Energy 2/10BreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.10Resistance $27.98

Price Targets

$26
$27
$27
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.5%
Max %5%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Buy at $27.50 (limit $26.95). A.R:R 0.0:1 at $27.50 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $27.42 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$-0 per share to target. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. Target $27.42 (-0.3%), stop $25.95 (−6.0%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.42 (+1.7% upside). Target $27.42 (-0.3%), stop $25.95 (−6.0%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $25.95.

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

0
What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working interests. Royalty revenues from Exxon Mobil- and Chevron-operated properties together represented approximately 25% of 2025 total operating revenues, and a significant portion of NPI properties are concentrated in the Bakken and Permian Basin.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) · BKV (BKV Corporation) · AR (Antero Resources Corporation) · SD (SandRidge Energy, Inc.)
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