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DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.Buy Wait7.3·$30.69
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Dorchester Minerals combines best-in-class quality metrics — a perfect 9/9 financial health score, 41% margins, and free cash flow running at 141% of net income — with 36% year-over-year revenue growth at a PEG of 0.30; the near-term setup requires patience as price momentum consolidates, and a put/call ratio of 4.33 along with a yield trap warning warrant monitoring before committing to a full position.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality Metrics→Stable
  • Strong Growth Attractive Absolute Valuation→Stable
  • Momentum Pullback Above 200day Ma↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $30.16. BUY gates pass at $30.69, but near 52-week high (1.0% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working... Read more

$30.69+17.0% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#4 of 49 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.25%
IncomeYield10.41%(5y avg 10.62%)Payout145.19%at-risk
Entry $30.16(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $29.02Target $35.29(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $30.16. BUY gates pass at $30.69, but near 52-week high (1.0% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
Risks
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn45.3%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth73.1%
Beta0.61
Dividend10.41%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C5.17bearish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExxon Mobil and Chevron (combined operators)25%
    10-K Item 1: 'Royalty revenues from properties operated by Exxon Mobil Corporation and its subsidiaries and Chevron Corporation and its subsidiaries, together, represented approximately 25% of total operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicBakken and Permian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the properties subject to the NPI are properties located in the Bakken region and Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
2.2
News Activity
5.0
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.94Resistance $31.00

Price Targets

$29
$30
$35
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus—
Avg Target—

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.16. BUY gates pass at $30.69, but near 52-week high (1.0% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.16 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $35.29 (+15.0%), stop $29.02 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.29 (+17.0% upside). Target $35.29 (+15.0%), stop $29.02 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $29.02.

What are the risks of investing in DMLP?

Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working interests. Royalty revenues from Exxon Mobil- and Chevron-operated properties together represented approximately 25% of 2025 total operating revenues, and a significant portion of NPI properties are concentrated in the Bakken and Permian Basin.

Related stocks: SD (SandRidge Energy, Inc.) · SM (SM Energy Company) · MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation) · REPX (Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.) · VIST (Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.)
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