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KRPKimbell Royalty PartnersSell4.8·$15.26-0.59%
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Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Concentration risk — Commodity: oil (62.0%).

Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in oil and gas properties across 28 states in the continental US, with ~12.3M gross acres of mineral interests and 4.7M gross acres of ORRIs, including ownership in 133,000+ gross wells. Cash distributions depend on... Read more

$15.26+8.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#33 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.50%
IncomeYield10.68%(5y avg 10.74%)Payout341.30%at-risk
Stop $14.56Target $16.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$19.00+24.5%5 analysts
$16.53our TP
$15.26price
$19.00mean
$23

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Concentration risk — Commodity: oil (62.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: oil (62.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.3%
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.4
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn23.6%
ROE9.3%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta0.27
Dividend10.68%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommodityoil62%
    10-K Item 1: 'our oil, natural gas and NGL revenues were generated 62% from oil sales, 25% from natural gas sales and 13% from NGL sales' in 2025
  • MEDIUMGeographicPermian Basin and Mid-Continent54%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 54% of our aggregate acres located in the Permian Basin and Mid-Continent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.8
Declining revenue: -7%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
5.2
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.51Resistance $15.80

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Concentration risk — Commodity: oil (62.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.56. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.53 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $14.56. Stop-loss: $14.56.

What are the risks of investing in KRP?

Concentration risk — Commodity: oil (62.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Is KRP overvalued or undervalued?

Kimbell Royalty Partners trades at a P/E of 33.4 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRP?

11 analysts cover KRP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Kimbell Royalty Partners do?Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in oil and gas properties across 28 states in the...

Kimbell Royalty Partners owns mineral and royalty interests in oil and gas properties across 28 states in the continental US, with ~12.3M gross acres of mineral interests and 4.7M gross acres of ORRIs, including ownership in 133,000+ gross wells. Cash distributions depend on oil/natural gas/NGL royalty payments from ~1,300 operators; the top 10 operators accounted for ~47.1% of revenues and oil represented 62% of revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · CNX (CNX Resources Corporation) · SM (SM Energy Company) · RRC (Range Resources Corporation)
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