Value
7.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| PEG | 5.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 5.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.55
- ▸Attractively valued
FMC · Why this verdict
Why FMC (FMC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.6 |
| Gross margin | 2.4 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.9 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
1.5/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.5 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 1.5 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 6.2 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -16.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
| erm sentiment | 4.2 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 55%
Insider
6.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 6.2 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.8 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.6 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.6 |
| days to cover | 4.7 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.5 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 2.5 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 19%
- ▸High IV: 77%
- ▸Above max pain $5
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:3.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
3.33
Upside
+39.9%
Downside
12.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE — Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.1, Technical at 6.5, and Sentiment at 6.3; the weakest are Growth at 1.5, Quality at 1.7, and Momentum at 2.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.