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FIGFigma, Inc.Sell5.7·$23.21
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

With 46% revenue growth and a Rule of 40 score of 116, the underlying business quality is exceptional, but a deteriorating price trend, 37% short interest, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.9 argue against new exposure until momentum stabilizes and the technical picture clears.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Fcf Despite Gaap Losses→Stable
  • Revenue Hypergrowth Trajectory→Stable
  • Leverage And Negative Sentiment→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Figma, Inc. (FIG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $23.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Figma provides a browser-based design and product development platform where teams collaborate to build digital products, spanning ideation (FigJam), design (Figma Design), prototyping (Figma Make), and developer handoff (Dev Mode). Revenue comes from per-seat annual and monthly... Read more

$23.21+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#59 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.01%
Stop $21.59Analyst target $26.01(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$29.90+28.8%10 analysts
$26.01Analyst target
$23.21price
$29.90mean
$35

Sell if holding. At $23.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Figma, Inc.

About Figma, Inc.

Figma's browser-based platform served users whose final products reach billions of people worldwide in 2025, with non-designers — including product managers, developers, and marketers — comprising approximately two-thirds of monthly active users in Q4 2025. Since launching Figma Design in 2015, the company has expanded to nine products covering ideation, design, code handoff, and publishing. Figma received FedRAMP authorization in early 2025, opening the U.S. federal government as an addressable customer segment.

Figma monetizes through per-seat annual and monthly subscriptions across four plan tiers — Starter (free), Professional, Organization, and Enterprise — with seat types ranging from a free Viewer seat to a Full seat covering every product. The company deploys a product-led growth motion, with a free tier driving organic adoption that converts into paid seats; a direct sales team manages enterprise accounts to expand seat counts and upgrade plan tiers. Integrations with Atlassian, Zoom, Notion, and Linear, alongside the Figma app in ChatGPT and Claude, extend platform reach into existing customer workflows. In 2025, Figma acquired Payload CMS and Weavy Inc. to add developer-grade CMS and AI media generation capabilities. The company currently relies on off-the-shelf foundational AI models, with proprietary model development expected to accelerate over time as investments in AI continue.

Show full overview

Figma's multi-class stock structure concentrates voting control with Dylan Field, the Chair, CEO, and President — a governance structure the 10-K flags directly as limiting investor influence over important transactions including a change of control. Competition from AI coding and design tools may adversely affect platform adoption if Figma fails to keep pace with rapid AI model improvement, which the 10-K names as a top business risk. The platform's per-seat subscription pricing faces model risk as well: the 10-K discloses that introducing billing structures beyond per-seat could affect business results.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Figma, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)65.1
Mkt Cap$12.4B
EV/EBITDA-6.9
Profit Mgn-123.1%
ROE-108.6%
Rev Growth48.2%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$15-35.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Director Mike Krieger resigned from Figma's Board of Directors effective April 14, 2026. No disagreement with the company's operations, policies, or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
4.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Peg Ratio
1.0
Forward Pe
1.6
Ps
3.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 65.1xPEG: 7.95
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.92Resistance $24.88

Price Targets

$22
$26
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $23.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.59. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIG stock price target?

Analyst target: $26.01 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $21.59. Stop-loss: $21.59.

What are the risks of investing in FIG?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Expensive valuation.

Is FIG overvalued or undervalued?

Figma, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 65.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIG?

19 analysts cover FIG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Figma, Inc. do?Figma provides a browser-based design and product development platform where teams collaborate to build digital...

Figma provides a browser-based design and product development platform where teams collaborate to build digital products, spanning ideation (FigJam), design (Figma Design), prototyping (Figma Make), and developer handoff (Dev Mode). Revenue comes from per-seat annual and monthly subscriptions across four plans serving freelancers to Fortune 500 enterprises. Non-designers comprised approximately two-thirds of monthly active users in Q4 2025.

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