Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Negative momentum.
Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for search, observability, and security use cases. FY2025 revenue was $1.483B (93% subscription) from ~21,500 customers; Elastic Cloud represented 46% of total... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Elastic N.V.
Latest news
- NEWS Elastic Stock Is Down 43% From Its 52-Week High. Q4 Earnings Tomorrow Could Change That - TIKR.com — TIKR.com negative
- NEWS Oppenheimer Reiterates Buy Rating on Elastic N.V. (ESTC) - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey positive
- NEWS Oppenheimer Reiterates Buy Rating on Elastic N.V. (ESTC) - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Elastic (ESTC) To Report Earnings Tomorrow: Here Is What To Expect - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Q1 2026 Results Top Views on Strong Revenue - Return On Equity - Newser — Newser positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerchannel partner12%10-K Item 1: 'One customer, a channel partner, accounted for 12% of total revenue for the year ended April 30, 2025 and 11% of total revenue for the year ended April 30, 2024.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $67.07 (+8.8%), stop $57.30 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $67.07 (+8.9% upside). Target $67.07 (+8.8%), stop $57.30 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $57.30.
Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Elastic N.V. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
36 analysts cover ESTC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $75.
What does Elastic N.V. do?Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for...
Elastic N.V. develops the Elasticsearch Search AI Platform, offering Elastic Cloud (SaaS) and self-managed software for search, observability, and security use cases. FY2025 revenue was $1.483B (93% subscription) from ~21,500 customers; Elastic Cloud represented 46% of total revenue.