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EENI S.p.A.Sell4.4·$53.62-1.29%
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ENI S.p.A. (E) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. The company engages in exploration, development, extracting, manufacturing, trading, and marketing crude oil and natural gas,... Read more

$53.62+3.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#17 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.18%
IncomeYield4.50%(5y avg 6.17%)Payout103.98%at-risk
Stop $51.42Target $55.42(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$56.22+4.8%5 analysts
$55.42our TP
$53.62price
$56.22mean
$49
$64

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=9.2x,ratio=0.39x. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.39× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Target reached (-8.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.7
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$79.7B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth-12.6%
Beta0.23
Dividend4.50%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -13%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Roa
1.5
Net Margin
1.5
Operating Margin
1.7
Roe
2.0
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -37% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
3.4
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=9.2x,ratio=0.39xMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.90Resistance $56.55

Price Targets

$51
$55
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is E stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.62: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $51.42. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the E stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.42 (+3.4% upside). Prior stop was $51.42. Stop-loss: $51.42.

What are the risks of investing in E?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.2× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.39× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Target reached (-8.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is E overvalued or undervalued?

ENI S.p.A. trades at a P/E of 23.7 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about E?

30 analysts cover E with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $56.

What does ENI S.p.A. do?Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States,...

Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. The company engages in exploration, development, extracting, manufacturing, trading, and marketing crude oil and natural gas, oil-based fuels, chemical products, and gas-fired power, as well as energy products from renewable sources. The company operates through Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio and Power; Refining and Chemicals; Enilive; Plenitude; and Corporate and Other Activities segments. The company engages in research, development, and production of oil, condensates, and natural gas. It is also involved in the supply and sale of wholesale natural gas through pipelines; electricity; and international transport, and purchase and marketing of liquefied natural gas. In addition, the company supplies bio-feedstock and crude oil; and stores, produces, distributes, and markets biofuels, oil products, biomethane, basic chemical and petrochemical products, intermediates, plastics and elastomers, and other chemicals, as well as provides smart mobility solutions and services. Further, the company engages in the retail marketing of gas, power, and related services; production and wholesale sale of electricity from renewable plants; and building and managing a network of charging points for electric vehicles. Eni S.p.A. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.

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