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EENI S.p.A.Sell6.1·$59.65
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ENI shows strong 27% YoY revenue growth and an attractive 9.5x forward P/E, but the price is already above the analyst target (negative 22.6% upside), the stock is overbought at an RSI of 88, and the earnings jump looks tied to a commodity-price surge.

Thesis pillars

  • Commodity Cycle Peak Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • Attractive Forward Valuation↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ENI S.p.A. (E) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.65 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..

Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. The company engages in exploration, development, extracting, manufacturing, trading, and marketing crude oil and natural gas,... Read more

$59.65-17.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#16 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.84%
IncomeYield4.14%(5y avg 6.01%)Payout45.83%sustainable
Stop $57.05Analyst target $48.95(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$56.26-5.7%5 analysts
$59.65price
$56.26mean
$49
$61

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.65 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 119d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=9.0x,ratio=0.51x. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027119d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$85.3B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth26.7%
Beta0.26
Dividend4.14%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.12bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
4.3
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=9.0x,ratio=0.51xMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 119d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.65Resistance $62.16

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.9%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.9% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (119d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is E stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.65 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $57.05. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the E stock price target?

Analyst target $48.95 reached (−17.9% from $59.65); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $57.05. Stop-loss: $57.05.

What are the risks of investing in E?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.51× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is E overvalued or undervalued?

ENI S.p.A. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about E?

30 analysts cover E with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $56.

What does ENI S.p.A. do?Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States,...

Eni S.p.A. operates as an integrated energy company in Italy, Other European Union, Rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, Africa, and internationally. The company engages in exploration, development, extracting, manufacturing, trading, and marketing crude oil and natural gas, oil-based fuels, chemical products, and gas-fired power, as well as energy products from renewable sources. The company operates through Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio and Power; Refining and Chemicals; Enilive; Plenitude; and Corporate and Other Activities segments. The company engages in research, development, and production of oil, condensates, and natural gas. It is also involved in the supply and sale of wholesale natural gas through pipelines; electricity; and international transport, and purchase and marketing of liquefied natural gas. In addition, the company supplies bio-feedstock and crude oil; and stores, produces, distributes, and markets biofuels, oil products, biomethane, basic chemical and petrochemical products, intermediates, plastics and elastomers, and other chemicals, as well as provides smart mobility solutions and services. Further, the company engages in the retail marketing of gas, power, and related services; production and wholesale sale of electricity from renewable plants; and building and managing a network of charging points for electric vehicles. Eni S.p.A. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.

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