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Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers 250 language courses, including Spanish, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Japanese, and Chinese through its Duolingo app. It also... Read more

$98.50+17.8% upside
Score 6.2/10Entry $93.83Target $116.76Reward/Risk 1.8:1

TrendMatrix rates Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $98.50 with +17.8% upside to the $116.76 price target. Overall score: 6.2/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.8:1.

Passes 2/5 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.7Qual7.6Grw10.0Mom3.3Sent4.1Ins3.4Peer6.6Tech4.5Risk5.36.2OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA23.4
Profit Mgn39.9%
ROE38.1%
Rev Growth35.0%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Analysts31
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DUOL stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. Score 6.2/10. Entry target: $93.83.

What is the DUOL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $116.76 (+17.8% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $89.23.

What are the risks of investing in DUOL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is DUOL overvalued or undervalued?

Duolingo, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DUOL?

31 analysts cover DUOL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Duolingo, Inc. do?Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally....

Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers 250 language courses, including Spanish, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Japanese, and Chinese through its Duolingo app. It also provides a digital English language proficiency assessment exam. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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47 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $91.99Res $119.14

Price Targets

$89
$94
$117
Upside+17.8%
Reward/Risk1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHIGH
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! MOMENTUM:3.3<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:-1.3=NEGATIVE
RECOVERYTEMP HEADWINDSuitability: Aggressive
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 3.3<5.0
Risk/Reward -1.3=NEGATIVE
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)