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DTDynatrace, Inc.Sell4.7·$40.60+0.05%
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Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5.

Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure monitoring, application observability, security, log analytics, and business analytics through its proprietary Grail data lakehouse and Davis AI engine. The... Read more

$40.60+9.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#96 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.26%
Stop $37.54Target $44.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$43.85+8.0%33 analysts
$44.09our TP
$40.60price
$43.85mean
$36
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)74.8
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$11.8B
EV/EBITDA38.1
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts45

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$18-56.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerone channel partner (10% of revenue)10%
    10-K Item 1: 'For the year ended March 31, 2025, one channel partner accounted for 10% of revenue. No channel partners accounted for more than 10% of revenue for the years ended March 31, 2024 and 2023.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.73Resistance $44.99

Price Targets

$38
$44
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.54. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the DT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.09 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $37.54. Stop-loss: $37.54.

What are the risks of investing in DT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is DT overvalued or undervalued?

Dynatrace, Inc. trades at a P/E of 74.8 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DT?

45 analysts cover DT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Dynatrace, Inc. do?Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure...

Dynatrace is an AI-powered observability platform serving enterprise IT operations via SaaS, providing infrastructure monitoring, application observability, security, log analytics, and business analytics through its proprietary Grail data lakehouse and Davis AI engine. The company had approximately 4,100 customers in 105+ countries and grew revenue 19% in FY2025, targeting the largest 15,000 global enterprise accounts.

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