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DOXAmdocs LimitedSell5.2·$62.21
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amdocs combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with a forward earnings multiple of 6.9x — making it attractively valued — yet the stock has broken down technically with a confirmed death cross, price below all moving averages, and a put/call ratio of 2.00, suggesting the value case remains unrecognized until price momentum reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Attractive Value Amid Selloff→Stable
  • Technical Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amdocs Limited (DOX) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $62.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides... Read more

$62.21+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#82 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.62%
IncomeYield3.66%(5y avg 2.13%)Payout52.07%sustainable
Stop $59.09Analyst target $67.36(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$79.25+27.4%4 analysts
$67.36Analyst target
$62.21price
$79.25mean
$105

Sell if holding. At $62.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 41%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.3%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.45
Dividend3.66%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C42.67bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$45-27.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.2
52w Position
5.1
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $57.29Resistance $63.60

Price Targets

$59
$67
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $62.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.09. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOX stock price target?

Analyst target: $67.36 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $59.09. Stop-loss: $59.09.

What are the risks of investing in DOX?

Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued?

Amdocs Limited trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOX?

11 analysts cover DOX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Amdocs Limited do?Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and...

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides CES25, a telco-native, GenAI-led customer experience suite, spanning business, and operations and network domains that is embedded with AI and related tools. In addition, it offers GenAI agents, and which include Customer Engagement Platform, a telecom-specific customer relationship management (CRM) solution; Amdocs Monetization Suite which enables customers to monetize their broad set of services and offerings; Amdocs Intelligent Networking Suite, a set of solutions that provide end-to-end service orchestration; Amdocs Charging; Amdocs eSIM Cloud that enables service providers to offer digital SIM (eSIM); Amdocs MarketONE, a based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)-based platform that includes pre-integrated digital services, ranging from media, gaming, eLearning, sports and retail to security, and business services; and Amdocs connectX, a cloud-native telco-in-a-box software-as-a-service platform for digital telecom brands, as well as Amdocs CatalogONE that spans the entire CES25 suite and combines embedded business intelligence with telecom-specific GenAI agents. Further, the company provides consulting, experience design, data, cloud, network services, delivery, quality engineering, operations, systems integration, and content services to various platforms and technologies; maintenance, enhancement design and development, and operational support services; network deployment and optimization services; and managed services, including AI and related tools, predictive analytics, and robotic process automation, as well as quality engineering, mobile network, cloud, and professional services. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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