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HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PicS N.V. is a high-quality infrastructure software company with 70% year-over-year revenue growth, a wide economic moat, ROE of 31%, and a forward P/E of only 3.4x — representing a rare combination of deep value and exceptional growth that analysts project will deliver 93% upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Rate→Stable
  • Compounder Quality Profile→Stable
  • Deep Value Wide Moat↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PicS N.V. (PICS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

PicS N.V. operates as a digital financial services company that provides digital wallet and application for individuals and businesses in Brazil. The company offers a range of transactional products for its consumers, including Pix, an instant payment system, peer-to-peer... Read more

$7.90+104.0% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $7.35Analyst target $16.12(−13% haircut)A.R:R 6.9:1
Analyst consensus$18.53+134.5%9 analysts
$16.12Analyst target
$7.90price
$18.53mean
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.1
P/E (Fwd)2.5
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-0.4
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth67.0%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV133%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 6.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $7.27Resistance $14.45

Price Targets

$7
$16
A.Upside+104.0%
A.R:R6.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PICS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $16.12 (+104.0%), stop $7.35 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.9:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PICS stock price target?

Analyst target: $16.12 (+104.0% upside). Analyst target $16.12 (+104.0%), stop $7.35 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.9:1. Stop-loss: $7.35.

What are the risks of investing in PICS?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is PICS overvalued or undervalued?

PicS N.V. trades at a P/E of 4.1 (forward 2.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PICS?

13 analysts cover PICS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $19.

What does PicS N.V. do?PicS N.V. operates as a digital financial services company that provides digital wallet and application for individuals...

PicS N.V. operates as a digital financial services company that provides digital wallet and application for individuals and businesses in Brazil. The company offers a range of transactional products for its consumers, including Pix, an instant payment system, peer-to-peer between PicPay accounts, bill payments, payroll portability, global account, and a payment assistant that helps consumers organize, centralize, and settle bills through an integrated hub. The company also provides multipurpose cards; personal loans; instalment payments; payroll loans for public servants, retirees, and pensioners; private payroll loans for formally employed workers; and access to the FGTS annual birthday withdrawal program. In addition, it offers digital insurance distribution platform with products, such as digital wallet insurance, PicPay Card bill protection, credit life insurance, smartphone protection, life insurance, home insurance, and others, as well as provides a range of products to various investor profiles and financial goals. Further, the company offers a portfolio of products in QR code payments for small and medium-sized businesses; banking services; corporate benefits and salary advances; PicPay Shop that offers consumers to purchase a range of products and services; and PicPay Ads, an advertising platform designed to enable brands to reach engaged consumer base through contextualized placements within the app. PicS N.V. was formerly known as Picpay Holdings Netherlands B.V. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil. PicS N.V. is a subsidiary of Jf International B.v.

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