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DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (DOCN) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.5% away).

DigitalOcean is a cloud platform for AI and Digital Native Enterprises offering IaaS, PaaS/SaaS, and Gradient AI Agentic Cloud services including GPU infrastructure and large language model inference. Approximately 21,000 DNE Customers spending over $500/month collectively... Read more

$102.31+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#47 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $94.62Target $101.92(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$94.50-7.6%12 analysts
$101.92our TP
$102.31price
$94.50mean
$57
$115

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.5% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.5% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.3
P/E (Fwd)56.1
Mkt Cap$10.1B
EV/EBITDA36.3
Profit Mgn28.8%
ROE
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta1.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV120%elevated
Max Pain$60-41.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.0
Ps
2.6
Analyst Target
3.0
Pe
3.2
Peg Ratio
9.3
Forward P/E: 56.1xPEG: 0.62
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.17Resistance $104.00

Price Targets

$95
$102
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOCN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $102.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.5% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $101.92 (-0.4%), stop $94.62 (−8.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOCN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.92 (+0.2% upside). Target $101.92 (-0.4%), stop $94.62 (−8.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $94.62.

What are the risks of investing in DOCN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.5% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is DOCN overvalued or undervalued?

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.3 (forward 56.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DOCN?

21 analysts cover DOCN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $95.

What does DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. do?DigitalOcean is a cloud platform for AI and Digital Native Enterprises offering IaaS, PaaS/SaaS, and Gradient AI...

DigitalOcean is a cloud platform for AI and Digital Native Enterprises offering IaaS, PaaS/SaaS, and Gradient AI Agentic Cloud services including GPU infrastructure and large language model inference. Approximately 21,000 DNE Customers spending over $500/month collectively comprised 60% of total revenue as of December 31, 2025.

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