Skip to main content

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - (KSPI) Stock Analysis

HoldHigh Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech. The Payments... Read more

$74.77+12.8% upside
Score 7.1/10Target $84.33Reward/Risk 1.2:1

TrendMatrix rates Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - (KSPI) as Hold with high confidence. The stock trades at $74.77 with +12.8% upside to the $84.33 price target. Overall score: 7.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.2:1.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val8.7Qual7.6Grw10.0Mom5.5Sent6.5Ins5.0Peer6.9Tech3.9Risk7.57.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong overall score: 7.1/10
- Consecutive earnings misses (4)
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN
- Below 200-day MA

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)6.3
P/E (Fwd)0.0
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.5%
ROE51.2%
Rev Growth52.0%
Beta-0.03
Dividend10.03%
Analysts12
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KSPI stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - (KSPI) as Hold with high confidence. Score 7.1/10.

What is the KSPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.33 (+12.8% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $66.53.

What are the risks of investing in KSPI?

Consecutive earnings misses (4); Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-day MA.

Is KSPI overvalued or undervalued?

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 0.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KSPI?

12 analysts cover KSPI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $99.

What does Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - do?Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for...

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, together with its subsidiaries, provides payments, marketplace, and fintech solutions for consumers and merchants in Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech. The Payments segment offers a platform that facilities transactions between and among merchants and consumers. This segment provides ways for consumers to pay for shopping transactions and regular household bills, as well as make peer to peer payments; and enables merchants to accept payment online and in store, issue and settle invoices, pay suppliers, and monitor merchant turnover. It also offers proprietary data, which facilitates informed decision-making across multiple areas of business. Its Marketplace Platform segment connects both online and offline merchants with consumers, enabling merchants to increase sales through an omnichannel strategy and allowing consumers to purchase products and services from various merchants. This segment operates marketplaces through m-commerce, a mobile solution for shopping in person; e-Commerce, which allows consumers to shop anywhere and anytime with free delivery; and Kaspi Travel that allows consumers to book domestic and international flights, domestic rail tickets, and international package holidays. It also enhances merchants' sales by connecting payments and fintech products, Kapsi advertising, and other delivery services. The Fintech Platform segment provides consumers with buy-now-pay-later, finance and savings products, and merchants with merchant finance services. It also involved in the banking; distressed asset management; real estate business; payment processing; online travel; e-grocery; classifieds; and storage and processing of information services. Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Almaty, the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Related stocks: DLO (DLocal Limited) · KLAR (Klarna Group plc) · PAYO (Payoneer Global Inc.) · ACIW (ACI Worldwide, Inc.) · PAY (Paymentus Holdings, Inc.)
50 NEUTRAL
20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $68.59Res $78.67

Price Targets

$67
$84
Upside+12.8%
Reward/Risk1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! ASYMMETRY:1.6<2.0
RECOVERYSuitability: Moderate
Momentum 5.5>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)
No SEC red flags
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)
Risk/Reward 1.6<2.0