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CPAYCorpay, Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$356.11+1.50%
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Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Wait for pullback to $333.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $356.11. Engine's entry $333.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

Corpay processes payments for businesses across four segments—Corporate Payments (AP automation, cross-border FX, virtual cards), Vehicle Payments (fuel cards, tolls, EV charging), Lodging Payments, and Other—serving millions of businesses in 200+ countries. Revenue is recurring... Read more

$356.11+8.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#6 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.00%
Entry $333.41(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $311.47Target $360.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$395.14+11.0%14 analysts
$360.08our TP
$356.11price
$395.14mean
$340
$450

Wait for pullback to $333.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $356.11. Engine's entry $333.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-3.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Corpay, Inc.

About Corpay, Inc.

Corpay facilitates payments for millions of businesses across more than 200 countries and 145 currencies, organized into Corporate Payments, Vehicle Payments, Lodging Payments, and Other segments. The Vehicle Payments division operates the Sem Parar network, which processes transactions for more than 7.5 million tagholders on 100% of RFID-accepting toll roads across Brazil, while the gift segment serves retailers in 66 countries. Corpay has been a member of the S&P 500 since 2018.

Corporate Payments earns revenue from AP automation, cross-border foreign exchange transactions structured as spot, forward, and option contracts, virtual card programs, and travel and entertainment card products, sold through direct sales forces, digital channels, and partnerships with financial institutions seeking white-label cross-border capability. Virtual cards operate on the Mastercard network and require merchants to enroll in Corpay's proprietary acceptance network — a structure the 10-K describes as creating competitive advantages and barriers to entry. Vehicle Payments uses both proprietary networks (operating on Corpay-owned applications at contracted merchants for richer data and better economics) and third-party networks including Mastercard and Visa for broader acceptance. Named vehicle OEM partners include Renault, NIO, Polestar, and Jaguar-Land Rover; fuel partners include Arco, Speedway, and Casey's. Competitors in Vehicle Payments include major oil companies, petroleum marketers, and large financial institutions that may integrate fuel card services alongside broader card products.

Show full overview

The proprietary acceptance infrastructure Corpay has built across toll collection, virtual cards, and vehicle fueling creates friction that open-network alternatives cannot easily replicate. Sem Parar processes transactions on 100% of RFID-accepting toll roads across Brazil and is accepted at approximately 8,300 merchant locations for in-vehicle purchases. For virtual card transactions, each issuer must negotiate merchant acceptance directly, so competing issuers' virtual cards are not interchangeable with Corpay's — a structural characteristic the 10-K explicitly describes as a competitive advantage and barrier to entry.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Corpay, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.3
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$23.3B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn24.6%
ROE32.1%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$190-46.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $325.77Resistance $367.43

Price Targets

$311
$333
$360
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPAY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $333.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $356.11. Engine's entry $333.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-3.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $360.08 (+1.1%), stop $311.47 (−14.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $360.08 (+8.7% upside). Target $360.08 (+1.1%), stop $311.47 (−14.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $311.47.

What are the risks of investing in CPAY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5.

Is CPAY overvalued or undervalued?

Corpay, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CPAY?

22 analysts cover CPAY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $395.

What does Corpay, Inc. do?Corpay processes payments for businesses across four segments—Corporate Payments (AP automation, cross-border FX,...

Corpay processes payments for businesses across four segments—Corporate Payments (AP automation, cross-border FX, virtual cards), Vehicle Payments (fuel cards, tolls, EV charging), Lodging Payments, and Other—serving millions of businesses in 200+ countries. Revenue is recurring and volume-driven, sourced from business customers via direct sales, digital channels, and partners including major oil companies and vehicle OEMs.

Related stocks: DLO (DLocal Limited) · KSPI (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - ) · ZETA (Zeta Global Holdings Corp.) · PAY (Paymentus Holdings, Inc.) · STNE (StoneCo Ltd.)
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