CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.38: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
CVR Energy is a diversified holding company engaged in petroleum refining (two mid-continent refineries in Coffeyville, KS and Wynnewood, OK), nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing via CVR Partners LP, and a renewable fuels segment (RDU reverted to hydrocarbon processing in December... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.38: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About CVR Energy Inc.
About CVR Energy Inc.
CVR Energy processed 98,757 bpd at its Coffeyville, Kansas refinery and 68,186 bpd at its Wynnewood, Oklahoma refinery in 2025, against nameplate capacities of 132,000 bpd and 74,500 bpd, respectively. The company controls CVR Partners, LP, a publicly traded nitrogen fertilizer producer with facilities in Coffeyville and East Dubuque, Illinois. In December 2025, CVR Energy reverted its Wynnewood renewable diesel unit to conventional hydrocarbon service after unfavorable renewable economics.
The Petroleum Segment produces gasoline, distillate, jet fuel, and other refined products sold to retailers, railroads, farm cooperatives, and other refiners in the Group 3 PADD II mid-continent market, largely at spot prices indexed to NYMEX WTI. The company's gathering system — including owned, leased, and joint-venture pipelines — supplied 67% and 94% of the Coffeyville and Wynnewood refineries' crude oil needs, respectively, in 2025, providing a WTI-basis transportation cost advantage. The largest Petroleum Segment customer accounted for 12% of net sales in 2025. The Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment, operated via CVR Partners, derives revenue primarily from UAN (67% of segment 2025 net sales) and ammonia (24%), sold to agricultural retailers and industrial customers; the top two fertilizer customers represented 28% of segment net sales in 2025. Primary competitors in the mid-continent refining market include CHS Inc.'s McPherson Refinery, HF Sinclair Corporation's El Dorado and Tulsa Refineries, and Valero Energy Corporation's Ardmore Refinery.
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Both CVR Energy refineries sit in the southern portion of Group 3 of the PADD II region, where the company primarily markets refined products. The 10-K explicitly flags this as a structural risk, noting CVR Energy is more susceptible to regional economic conditions than geographically diversified competitors. The Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment's sales to agricultural customers are further concentrated in the Great Plains and Midwest states, creating a seasonal demand profile that can shift materially based on weather and planting decisions. If regional crude differentials narrow or regional product demand weakens, revenue from both the Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer segments could weigh on results simultaneously.
See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
From CVR Energy Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — CVR Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mizuho Maintains Underperform on CVR Energy, Raises Price Target to $35 — benzinga May 27, 2026 negative
- NEWS CVR Energy Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CVR Energy Q1 Adj. EPS $(1.24) Misses $(0.40) Estimate, Sales $1.980B Beat $1.695B Estimate — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For April 29, 2026 — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Scotiabank Maintains Sector Underperform on CVR Energy, Raises Price Target to $28 — benzinga Apr 22, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $31.38: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.67. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $35.70 (+13.8% upside). Prior stop was $29.67. Stop-loss: $29.67.
Target reached (-15.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).
CVR Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover CVI with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $31.
What does CVR Energy Inc. do?CVR Energy is a diversified holding company engaged in petroleum refining (two mid-continent refineries in Coffeyville,...
CVR Energy is a diversified holding company engaged in petroleum refining (two mid-continent refineries in Coffeyville, KS and Wynnewood, OK), nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing via CVR Partners LP, and a renewable fuels segment (RDU reverted to hydrocarbon processing in December 2025). Revenue comes from selling gasoline, diesel, UAN, and ammonia to fuel retailers, railroads, and agricultural customers in the PADD II region. Icahn Enterprises owned ~70% of CVR Energy common stock as of December 31, 2025.