Constellium SE (CSTM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Basic Materials · Aluminum
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away).
Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging, and automotive end markets across 24 facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. It earns revenue on a margin-over-metal-price model by converting aluminum into... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomercustomer concentration risk10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is exposed to customer concentration risk. A significant downturn in the business, credit or financial condition of our largest customers could expose us to the risk of default'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $29.91. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $33.02 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $29.91. Stop-loss: $29.91.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.
Constellium SE trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover CSTM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $37.
What does Constellium SE do?Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging,...
Constellium is a global manufacturer of specialty rolled and extruded aluminum products serving aerospace, packaging, and automotive end markets across 24 facilities in the U.S., Europe, and Canada. It earns revenue on a margin-over-metal-price model by converting aluminum into high-value semi-fabricated products, with product qualification creating switching costs.