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GFIGold Fields LimitedBuy Wait7.2·$39.35+7.81%
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Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $37.79. BUY gates pass at $39.35, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $37.79 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

$39.35+32.4% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#2 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.80%
IncomeYield6.35%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout20.00%sustainable
Entry $37.79(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $33.97Target $50.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1Setup A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$57.53+46.2%8 analysts
$50.05our TP
$39.35price
$57.53mean
$75

Wait for pullback to $37.79. BUY gates pass at $39.35, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $37.79 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$32.6B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn40.8%
ROE51.9%
Rev Growth71.4%
Beta0.51
Dividend6.35%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.8
Gap
3.0
52w Position
3.3
Bollinger
3.8
Extreme gap up (8.5%) - may pull back
GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.35Resistance $41.65

Price Targets

$34
$38
$50
A.Upside+27.2%
A.R:R1.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %3.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $37.79. BUY gates pass at $39.35, but the engine prefers a shallower entry for a wider margin of safety. Engine's entry $37.79 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $50.05 (+27.2%), stop $33.97 (−15.8%), Setup A.R:R 4.6:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.05 (+32.4% upside). Target $50.05 (+27.2%), stop $33.97 (−15.8%), Setup A.R:R 4.6:1. Stop-loss: $33.97.

Is GFI overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Fields Limited trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GFI?

14 analysts cover GFI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Gold Fields Limited do?Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru,...

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

Related stocks: AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · BTG (B2Gold Corp) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
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