Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Aluminum
Sell if holding. At $181.83, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: largest customer (16.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (56.0%).
Kaiser Aluminum manufactures semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products — flat-rolled, extruded, drawn, and cast — for aerospace/defense, packaging, automotive, and general engineering markets, primarily in North America. Revenue is earned from direct sales to manufacturers,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $181.83, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: largest customer (16.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (56.0%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS UBS Group AG Decreases Stock Position in Kaiser Aluminum Corporation $KALU - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Kaiser Aluminum Corp stock (US4834971025): earnings update and strong year?to?date performance - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS positive
- NEWS Kaiser stock regains recent form - Nashville Post — Nashville Post positive
- NEWS Kaiser Aluminum Corp stock (US4834971025): Third Avenue Management cuts stake by 65% - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS negative
- NEWS Zacks Research Upgrades Kaiser Aluminum (NASDAQ:KALU) to Strong-Buy - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerlargest customer16%10-K Item 1: 'our largest customer accounted for 16% of Net sales'
- HIGHCustomerfive largest customers56%10-K Item 1A: 'Our five largest customers in total accounted for approximately 56% of our 2025 net sales.'
- HIGHSupplierAlcoa10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Alcoa for certain resources required to support daily operations at Warrick, including potable water.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $181.83, A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: largest customer (16.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (56.0%). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $169.56. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $191.32 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $169.56. Stop-loss: $169.56.
Concentration risk — Customer: largest customer (16.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: five largest customers (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover KALU with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $159.
What does Kaiser Aluminum Corporation do?Kaiser Aluminum manufactures semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products — flat-rolled, extruded, drawn, and cast — for...
Kaiser Aluminum manufactures semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products — flat-rolled, extruded, drawn, and cast — for aerospace/defense, packaging, automotive, and general engineering markets, primarily in North America. Revenue is earned from direct sales to manufacturers, tier-one suppliers, and metal service centers, with the largest customer representing 16% of net sales. Key production facilities include the Trentwood rolling mill for aerospace plate and the Warrick facility dedicated to packaging coil.