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CRKComstock Resources, Inc.Hold5.9·$12.80-1.54%
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Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier).

Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas, with 7.0 Tcfe of proved reserves as of December 31, 2025. The company operates 99% of its reserve base and spent $1.05 billion on drilling... Read more

$12.80+17.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#17 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-20.82%
Stop $12.33Target $15.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$17.42+36.1%12 analysts
$15.15our TP
$12.80price
$17.42mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

Comstock Resources holds 7.0 Tcfe of proved natural gas reserves with a PV 10 value of $4.5 billion at December 31, 2025, with substantially all reserves in the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays across 1,069,991 gross acres in North Louisiana and East Texas. The company drilled 52 wells averaging 11,187-foot laterals in 2025, replacing 830% of production in the SEC price case, and reported an average reserve life of approximately 16 years.

Revenue derives almost entirely from natural gas sales into Gulf Coast markets, which benefit from geographic proximity to LNG export terminals, pipeline exports to Mexico, and petrochemical facilities. In 2025, Comstock operated 99% of its proved reserve base and spent $1.05 billion on drilling and completion activities. The company's Pinnacle Gas Services LLC operates 246 miles of high-pressure pipelines and two gas treating plants in the Western Haynesville area; in January 2026, Pinnacle entered an agreement to redeem its Quantum Capital Solutions partnership interest for $440 million cash. A partnership with NextEra Energy Resources LLC targets 2 gigawatts of initial power generation capacity in Western Haynesville for hyperscaler data centers, with potential expansion to 8 gigawatts. Outstanding principal debt was $2.8 billion at December 31, 2025.

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Comstock Resources' proved undeveloped reserve base is highly price-sensitive, having grown by 3.1 Tcf during 2025 as SEC prices rose from $1.84 per Mcf in 2024 to $3.07 per Mcf in 2025, while associated future development capital commitments grew from $0.9 billion to $4.7 billion over the same period. The 10-K discloses that the business is 'heavily dependent upon the price of and demand for natural gas,' and the 2024 reserve cycle — when undeveloped reserves shrank by 1.2 Tcf at the lower price — illustrates the downside: a renewed price decline could significantly reduce the proved undeveloped base and compress the capital program.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

From Comstock Resources, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier)
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.8
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn31.2%
ROE24.2%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C4.91bearish
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLouisiana and Texas
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operations are concentrated in Louisiana and Texas.'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas (Haynesville/Bossier)
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our proved reserves are in the Haynesville and Bossier shales in North Louisiana and East Texas.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.6
Macd
7.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.71Resistance $15.22

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+18.4%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $15.15 (+18.4%), stop $12.33 (−3.8%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.15 (+17.9% upside). Target $15.15 (+18.4%), stop $12.33 (−3.8%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $12.33.

What are the risks of investing in CRK?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Louisiana and Texas; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas (Haynesville/Bossier); Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing).

Is CRK overvalued or undervalued?

Comstock Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 5.8 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRK?

22 analysts cover CRK with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Comstock Resources, Inc. do?Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North...

Comstock Resources is a natural gas producer focused entirely on the Haynesville and Bossier shale plays in North Louisiana and East Texas, with 7.0 Tcfe of proved reserves as of December 31, 2025. The company operates 99% of its reserve base and spent $1.05 billion on drilling and completion in 2025, generating revenue from natural gas sales. Proximity to Gulf Coast LNG export markets supports premium pricing relative to other U.S. basins.

Related stocks: GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · AR (Antero Resources Corporation) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation) · EQT (EQT Corporation)
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