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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $171.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $179.10. Engine's entry $171.80 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Negative momentum.

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio (81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP in central Oklahoma (19%); 4.3 Tcfe proved reserves with $3.6B PV-10 at year-end 2025. Free cash flow funded $336.3M in share... Read more

$179.10+18.3% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#4 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.56%
Entry $171.80(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $159.33Target $211.26(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1Setup A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$242.83+35.6%12 analysts
$211.26our TP
$179.10price
$242.83mean
$287

Wait for pullback to $171.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $179.10. Engine's entry $171.80 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val9.0Qual7.8Grw10.0Mom3.5Sent7.3Ins3.0Peer5.9Tech7.6Risk6.17.0OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.9
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA3.6
Profit Mgn42.1%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth32.3%
Beta0.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.30bearish
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%
    10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02HIGH
    John Reinhart resigned as President, CEO and Director effective March 6, 2026. No permanent CEO named; Office of the Chairman created under Board Chair Timothy Cutt as interim leadership; executive search firm retained.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $175.49Resistance $197.61

Price Targets

$159
$172
$211
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R2.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %3.1%
Max %6.2%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPOR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $171.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $179.10. Engine's entry $171.80 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $211.26 (+18.0%), stop $159.33 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.9:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.26 (+18.3% upside). Target $211.26 (+18.0%), stop $159.33 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.9:1. Stop-loss: $159.33.

What are the risks of investing in GPOR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Negative momentum.

Is GPOR overvalued or undervalued?

Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GPOR?

21 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $243.

What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio...

Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company with assets in the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio (81% of 2025 production) and SCOOP in central Oklahoma (19%); 4.3 Tcfe proved reserves with $3.6B PV-10 at year-end 2025. Free cash flow funded $336.3M in share repurchases in 2025; 2026 production guidance of 1.030-1.055 Bcfe/day.

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