The business demonstrates exceptional quality—a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, 42% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-score of 8 out of 9—paired with 32% revenue growth and roughly 30% upside to the analyst price target; the primary near-term overhangs are weak price momentum and a free cash flow conversion shortfall that deserve monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Overhang↓Deteriorating
- High Quality Franchise Wide Moat→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026
Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma.
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6... Read more
Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Gulfport Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS GPOR|Gulfport Energy Corp|Price:156.795|Chg%:+3.395 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- NEWS GPOR|Gulfport Energy Corp|Price:156.795|Chg%:+3.395 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com positive
- NEWS Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS William Blair Maintains Gulfport Energy(GPOR.US) With Buy Rating - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUtica/Marcellus81%10-K Item 1: 'we produced approximately 841 MMcfe per day net to our interests in Utica/Marcellus and it accounted for approximately 81% of our total production.'
- HIGHGeographiceastern Ohio and central Oklahoma10-K Item 1A: 'All of our producing properties are located in eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in only these regions.'
- MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas10-K Item 1: 'Gulfport is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company with assets primarily located in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 28, 2026, Domenic J. Dell'Osso, Jr. appointed President and CEO of Gulfport Energy, effective May 28, 2026. Previously CEO of Expand Energy Corp (formerly Chesapeake Energy) 2021–Feb 2026. Board expanded to 7 members; Dell'Osso joined through 2027 Annual Meeting. RSU grant also approved for SVP of Reservoir Engineering ($222,500).SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -16.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $165.91, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $156.27. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $186.85 (+12.6% upside). Prior stop was $156.27. Stop-loss: $156.27.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utica/Marcellus (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: eastern Ohio and central Oklahoma; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Gulfport Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover GPOR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $215.
What does Gulfport Energy Corporation do?Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81%...
Gulfport Energy is an independent natural gas-weighted E&P company producing approximately 1.038 Bcfe per day, with 81% from the Utica/Marcellus in eastern Ohio and 19% from the SCOOP in central Oklahoma. Proved reserves totaled 4.3 Tcfe at December 31, 2025 with PV-10 of $3.6 billion, supported by a 2026 capital program of $400-$430 million targeting approximately 1.030-1.055 Bcfe per day.