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COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.Hold6.6·$31.31+1.59%
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Columbia Banking System, Inc. (COLB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Columbia Banking System operates Columbia Bank, an Oregon-chartered commercial bank focused on commercial and community banking across eight western states, completing its acquisition of Pacific Premier in August 2025. The bank earns primarily net interest income on a loan... Read more

$31.31-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#6 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.80%Payout57.25%sustainable
Stop $29.99Target $30.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$32.08+2.4%13 analysts
$30.83our TP
$31.31price
$32.08mean
$29
$36

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Columbia Banking System, Inc.

About Columbia Banking System, Inc.

Columbia Banking System completed its acquisition of Pacific Premier on August 31, 2025, unifying operations under the 'Columbia Bank' name across Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, and Washington, with deposits insured by the FDIC. Oregon deposit market share reached 16.39% (ranked second) and Washington 7.79% (ranked fifth) as of June 30, 2025. The combined loan portfolio carried 76% of gross loans secured by real estate as of December 31, 2025.

Columbia earns primarily net interest income from commercial loans, CRE mortgages, multifamily and construction loans, equipment leases through FinPac (a commercial equipment leasing subsidiary of Columbia Bank), and investment securities, supplemented by fee income from treasury management, wealth management, and trust services through Columbia Wealth Advisors, Columbia Trust Company, and Columbia Private Bank. Commercial lending spans lines of credit, term loans, international trade finance, SBA financing, and capital markets. Residential real estate loans are generally sold into the secondary market with servicing retained. The deposit base includes non-interest-bearing checking, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts, competing against major national banks that generally hold top market share in California, plus regional banks, credit unions, and fintechs. Following the Pacific Premier acquisition, the company expanded its five-year Community Benefits Agreement with the National Community Reinvestment Coalition to $9.8 billion in total commitments.

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Columbia's loan book is concentrated in CRE and commercial business loans — a profile the FDIC has specifically flagged through pronouncements about significant loan concentrations, cited verbatim in the company's 10-K. At December 31, 2025, the securities portfolio carried $380 million in gross unrealized losses, amplifying the interest-rate sensitivity of the balance sheet. Evolving work-from-home and hybrid arrangements may affect office property valuations within the CRE portfolio over both the short and long term. The Federal Reserve decreased the federal funds rate through 2025 and may further reduce it in 2026, though the 10-K notes rates could increase to combat renewed inflation — either direction poses uncertainty for net interest income and deposit pricing.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Columbia Banking System, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.0%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth39.9%
Beta0.68
Dividend4.80%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.13Resistance $31.46

Price Targets

$30
$31
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COLB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.83 (-1.5%), stop $29.99 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COLB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.83 (-1.5% upside). Target $30.83 (-1.5%), stop $29.99 (−4.4%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $29.99.

What are the risks of investing in COLB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Is COLB overvalued or undervalued?

Columbia Banking System, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about COLB?

19 analysts cover COLB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Columbia Banking System, Inc. do?Columbia Banking System operates Columbia Bank, an Oregon-chartered commercial bank focused on commercial and community...

Columbia Banking System operates Columbia Bank, an Oregon-chartered commercial bank focused on commercial and community banking across eight western states, completing its acquisition of Pacific Premier in August 2025. The bank earns primarily net interest income on a loan portfolio where 76% of gross loans were secured by real estate as of December 31, 2025. Oregon deposit market share ranks second at 16.39%, Washington fifth at 7.79%.

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