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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Hold6.6·$22.66+0.27%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationDeteriorating
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 5 days (2026-08-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$22.66+18.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#12 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.59%
Stop $21.07Target $26.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$29.85+31.7%20 analysts
$26.87our TP
$22.66price
$29.85mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA-13.3
Profit Mgn-41.9%
ROE-80.0%
Rev Growth24.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.03bearish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
1.7
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.23Resistance $23.05

Price Targets

$21
$27
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.87 (+18.6%), stop $21.07 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.87 (+18.6% upside). Target $26.87 (+18.6%), stop $21.07 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $21.07.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

26 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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