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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Sell6.2·$28.80
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted Valuation→Stable
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
  • Leverage And Downtrend Headwind↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$28.80+23.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#25 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.01%
Stop $26.78Analyst target $35.59(−10% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$39.55+37.3%22 analysts
$35.59Analyst target
$28.80price
$39.55mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.7
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA25.9
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Insiders leaning net-seller recently. Could be diversification/taxes rather than view, but the signal is not supportive.static

Materiality
2.0
Insider Conviction
2.0
Heavy insider selling — $1,164,074,622 (10.676% of mkt cap)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5INSIDER 10.68%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.17Resistance $31.07

Price Targets

$27
$36
A.Upside+23.6%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 10.68%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.78. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Analyst target: $35.59 (+23.6% upside). Prior stop was $26.78. Stop-loss: $26.78.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.7 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

30 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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