The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. At $50.34, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
The Carlyle Group manages $477B in AUM across three segments: Global Private Equity, Global Credit ($211B AUM), and Carlyle AlpInvest ($102B AUM), with 2,500+ employees in 27 offices on four continents. Revenue comes from management fees and performance allocations from 3,200+... Read more
Sell if holding. At $50.34, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $50.34, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $46.73. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $55.69 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $46.73. Stop-loss: $46.73.
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.
The Carlyle Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover CG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $62.
What does The Carlyle Group Inc. do?The Carlyle Group manages $477B in AUM across three segments: Global Private Equity, Global Credit ($211B AUM), and...
The Carlyle Group manages $477B in AUM across three segments: Global Private Equity, Global Credit ($211B AUM), and Carlyle AlpInvest ($102B AUM), with 2,500+ employees in 27 offices on four continents. Revenue comes from management fees and performance allocations from 3,200+ active carry fund investors in 87 countries.