Skip to main content
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance CorHold6.6·$11.28-0.70%
Open full analysis

Blue Owl Technology Finance Cor (OTF) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is an externally managed BDC focused on senior secured and subordinated loans and equity investments in enterprise software and technology companies. As of December 31, 2025, OTF had $14.3B in investments across 199 portfolio companies, 76.8%... Read more

$11.28+4.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#4 of 111 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield8.57%
IncomeYield12.32%Payout145.83%at-risk
Stop $10.58Target $11.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$13.56+20.2%9 analysts
$11.79our TP
$11.28price
$13.56mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.6%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.8%
ROE5.4%
Rev Growth78.3%
Beta
Dividend12.32%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.7
Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
2.9
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.48Resistance $11.60

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $11.79 (+4.5%), stop $10.58 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the OTF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.79 (+4.5% upside). Target $11.79 (+4.5%), stop $10.58 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $10.58.

What are the risks of investing in OTF?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OTF overvalued or undervalued?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Cor trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OTF?

14 analysts cover OTF with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Blue Owl Technology Finance Cor do?Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is an externally managed BDC focused on senior secured and subordinated loans and...

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is an externally managed BDC focused on senior secured and subordinated loans and equity investments in enterprise software and technology companies. As of December 31, 2025, OTF had $14.3B in investments across 199 portfolio companies, 76.8% first lien senior secured, with 96.2% floating-rate debt; listed on NYSE as OTF in June 2025.

Related stocks: ETG (Eaton Vance Tax-Advantaged Glob) · SII (Sprott Inc.) · AOD (Aberdeen Total Dynamic Dividend) · GAM (General American Investors, Inc) · VCTR (Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. )
Home Stocks OTF

Latest news

Latest News

Caledonian Record48d agoLegal
GlobeNewswire48d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com19d ago
MarketBeat19d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com19d ago
MarketBeat19d ago
Pluang26d ago
Seeking Alpha26d ago
Moomoo27d ago
Investing.com33d ago
TipRanks34d ago
PR Newswire40d agoEarnings
Moomoo40d agoEarnings
MarketBeat20d ago
Marketscreener.com21d ago
Moomoo28d agoAnalyst
Reuters46d ago
TipRanks18d ago
MSN18d ago
TipRanks19d ago
Loading more...