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BXBlackstone Inc.Hold5.4·$117.06
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Blackstone is a high-quality asset manager with a wide economic moat, strong margins, and a four-quarter earnings beat streak, but a confirmed price downtrend and reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.51-to-1 limit the near-term case for adding exposure at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Franchise Quality Moat↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
  • Price Downtrend Headwind↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Blackstone Inc. (BX) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $117.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth.

Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity ($416 billion), Credit & Insurance ($443 billion), and Multi-Asset Investing ($96 billion). The firm earns management fees and performance allocations on behalf... Read more

$117.06+6.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#140 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.48%(5y avg 3.20%)Payout111.19%at-risk
Stop $108.87Analyst target $124.90(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst consensus$138.77+18.5%22 analysts
$124.90Analyst target
$117.06price
$138.77mean
$169

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $117.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Blackstone Inc.

About Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone managed $1.3 trillion in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, with Credit & Insurance leading at $443.0 billion, followed by Private Equity at $416.4 billion, Real Estate at $319.3 billion, and Multi-Asset Investing at $96.2 billion. The firm employed approximately 5,285 professionals including 268 senior managing directors, deployed across institutional and private wealth channels in the Americas, Europe, and Asia.

Blackstone earns management fees as a percentage of AUM — calculated on committed capital, invested capital, or net asset value depending on fund structure — plus Performance Revenues once funds achieve preferred return thresholds. Perpetual capital vehicles such as BREIT, BXMT, BCRED, BXSL, BIP, and BXPE generate continuously recurring management fees and have substantially increased as a share of total AUM in recent years. Performance Allocations from traditional drawdown carry funds depend on realizations, creating quarterly cash flow volatility. In recent periods, the Credit & Insurance segment's credit portfolios benefited from elevated interest rates because a substantial majority of that portfolio is floating rate; a decline in rates could weigh on that tailwind. Investors include pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and a growing base of high-net-worth individuals through the Private Wealth channel.

Show full overview

Blackstone's real estate segment is particularly exposed to the pace of interest rate normalization. The 10-K notes that elevated rates have reduced real estate valuations, slowed fundraising in private wealth-targeted real estate strategies, and made it harder to exit investments in life science office and traditional office sectors where long-term leases do not permit near-term rent increases. If rates remain elevated longer than anticipated, real estate valuations may face continued pressure, while a rapid rate decline could simultaneously compress the floating-rate credit income advantage embedded in the Credit & Insurance portfolios — exposing the company to asymmetric risk across segments depending on rate trajectory.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Blackstone Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Blackstone Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.7%
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)15.9
Mkt Cap$139.9B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE32.4%
Rev Growth-0.5%
Beta1.59
Dividend4.48%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$93-20.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.4
Earnings Growth
2.7
Declining revenue: -0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
3.7
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.44Resistance $120.55

Price Targets

$109
$125
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $117.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $124.90 (+6.7%), stop $108.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BX stock price target?

Analyst target: $124.90 (+6.7% upside). Analyst target $124.90 (+6.7%), stop $108.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $108.87.

What are the risks of investing in BX?

Thin upside margin: 6.7%; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BX overvalued or undervalued?

Blackstone Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 15.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BX?

32 analysts cover BX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Blackstone Inc. do?Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity...

Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity ($416 billion), Credit & Insurance ($443 billion), and Multi-Asset Investing ($96 billion). The firm earns management fees and performance allocations on behalf of pension funds, insurance companies, and individual investors, employing approximately 5,285 people globally.

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