Patria Investments offers a rare combination of 22% revenue growth, a wide economic moat, strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a PEG of 0.04 — though two consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed downtrend temper near-term entry conviction.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
- Extreme Peg Valuation↑Improving
- Industry Growth Leadership→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Wait for pullback to $8.79. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $9.35. Engine's entry $8.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with... Read more
Wait for pullback to $8.79. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $9.35. Engine's entry $8.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Patria Investments Limited
Latest news
- NEWS Pax Silica: US Strategy to Secure AI's $750 Billion Supply Chain - Investing News Network — Investing News Network positive
- NEWS Patria Investments (PAX) Stock Slides As Carry Outlook Cools - Sahm — Sahm negative
- NEWS PAX|Patria Investments Ltd|Price:10.990|Chg%:+0.310 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS PAX|Patria Investments Ltd|Price:10.990|Chg%:+0.310 - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $8.79. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $9.35. Engine's entry $8.79 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Strong overall profile with balanced scores. Target $12.90 (+38.0%), stop $8.17 (−14.4%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.90 (+38.0% upside). Target $12.90 (+38.0%), stop $8.17 (−14.4%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $8.17.
Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.
Patria Investments Limited trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover PAX with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $15.
What does Patria Investments Limited do?Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private...
Patria Investments Limited operates as a private market investment firm. It specializes in investments in private equity, secondary direct and indirect and venture capital with focus in middle market, buyout and growth capital investments. It seeks to be sector agnostic with focus on agribusiness, power & energy, healthcare, logistics & transportations, food & beverage, agricultural products, packaged foods and meats, education services, outsourced business services, and digital & tech services. It prefers to invest globally with focus on Latin America, Europe, United States, North America and Brazil. It seeks to invest between $38.48 million and $72.14 million per transaction. The firm seeks a majority or minority stake in its portfolio companies. The company offers asset management services to investors focusing on private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investments funds, constructivist equity funds, and real estate and credit funds. The firm seeks to co-invest with other investors. Patria Investments Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands with additional offices across South America, North America, Europe and Asia. Patria Investments Limited operates as a subsidiary of Patria Holdings Limited.