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CBChubb LimitedHold6.1·$326.12-0.62%
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Chubb Limited (CB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $326.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Global P&C insurer Chubb Limited operates in 54 countries, generating $53.0 billion in consolidated net premiums earned in 2025 across six segments including North America commercial and personal lines, overseas general insurance, reinsurance, and life. With $272 billion in... Read more

$326.120.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.92%
IncomeYield1.24%(5y avg 1.47%)Payout13.72%sustainable
Stop $312.99Target $326.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$345.04+5.8%23 analysts
$326.33our TP
$326.12price
$345.04mean
$291
$385

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $326.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Chubb Limited

About Chubb Limited

Chubb Limited generated $53.0 billion in consolidated net premiums earned (NPE) in 2025 across six business segments and 54 countries, with total assets of $272 billion and shareholders' equity of $74 billion at December 31, 2025. North America Commercial P&C Insurance dominated at 38% of NPE, followed by Overseas General Insurance at 27%, North America Personal P&C Insurance at 13%, Life Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance at 5%, and Global Reinsurance at 3%.

Chubb earns through P&C underwriting income, investment income, and life segment income, emphasizing underwriting quality over volume with clearly defined underwriting authorities in each local operation. Distribution flows primarily through independent insurance agents, insurance and reinsurance brokers, and bancassurance relationships. The Overseas General Insurance segment encompasses Chubb International retail commercial P&C, Huatai Property & Casualty Insurance Co., Ltd. — in which Chubb holds approximately 87.2% ownership and which distributes through nearly 200 licensed sales locations in 28 Chinese provinces — and CGM, the London-based wholesale division including Lloyd's Syndicate 2488 with an underwriting capacity of £630 million for the 2026 account year. The fixed income investment portfolio is primarily investment-grade, with approximately 17% in below investment-grade securities at December 31, 2025. Reinsurance recoverables totaled $20.6 billion at year-end 2025 across an external panel of counterparties.

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The counterparty dimension embedded in Chubb's reinsurance recoverables warrants attention: at December 31, 2025, the company carried $20.6 billion in gross reinsurance recoverables net of reserves for uncollectible amounts. A distinct intra-group exposure exists through Century Indemnity Company, the company's inactive run-off subsidiary, to which active subsidiaries had ceded approximately $1.9 billion in aggregate reinsurance balances. The 10-K notes that if Century is placed into rehabilitation or liquidation, intercompany recoverables could rank behind third-party liabilities — creating potential loss exposure for affiliates even within a related entity.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

From Chubb Limited's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$127.3B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn18.5%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.42
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$140-57.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductNorth America Commercial P&C Insurance38%
    10-K Item 1: 'North America Commercial P&C Insurance (38 percent of 2025 Consolidated NPE)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 21, 2026 Annual General Meeting, Chubb shareholders approved the amended and restated 2016 Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). Routine compensatory arrangement approval at AGM; no executive departures or new appointments reported in this filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
4.1
Growth Rank
5.9
Quality Rank
5.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $307.65Resistance $332.99

Price Targets

$313
$326
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $326.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $326.33 (+0.1%), stop $312.99 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $326.33 (0.0% upside). Target $326.33 (+0.1%), stop $312.99 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $312.99.

What are the risks of investing in CB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CB overvalued or undervalued?

Chubb Limited trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CB?

35 analysts cover CB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $345.

What does Chubb Limited do?Global P&C insurer Chubb Limited operates in 54 countries, generating $53.0 billion in consolidated net premiums earned...

Global P&C insurer Chubb Limited operates in 54 countries, generating $53.0 billion in consolidated net premiums earned in 2025 across six segments including North America commercial and personal lines, overseas general insurance, reinsurance, and life. With $272 billion in total assets and $74 billion in shareholders' equity at December 31, 2025, the company earns through P&C underwriting income, investment income, and life segment income.

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