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WRBW.R. Berkley CorporationSell5.4·$68.27+1.08%
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W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company and one of the largest commercial lines writers in the U.S., operating through 60 decentralized specialty businesses in Insurance (88% of net premiums) and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess (12%). Net premiums written totaled $12.7... Read more

$68.27-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.82%
IncomeYield0.59%(5y avg 0.55%)Payout7.63%sustainable
Stop $65.03Target $67.72(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$67.13-1.7%16 analysts
$67.72our TP
$68.27price
$67.13mean
$51
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft leadership change. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE20.2%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.31
Dividend0.59%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
6.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.6
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT LEADERSHIP CHANGEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35EARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.87Resistance $69.10

Price Targets

$65
$68
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! NEWS_SOFT:LEADERSHIP_CHANGE

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $65.03. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WRB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.72 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $65.03. Stop-loss: $65.03.

What are the risks of investing in WRB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-day MA.

Is WRB overvalued or undervalued?

W.R. Berkley Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WRB?

27 analysts cover WRB with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $67.

What does W.R. Berkley Corporation do?W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company and one of the largest commercial lines writers in the U.S., operating...

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company and one of the largest commercial lines writers in the U.S., operating through 60 decentralized specialty businesses in Insurance (88% of net premiums) and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess (12%). Net premiums written totaled $12.7 billion in 2025; 33 subsidiaries hold A.M. Best A+ and 25 hold S&P AA- financial strength ratings.

Related stocks: PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation) · CB (Chubb Limited) · THG (Hanover Insurance Group Inc)
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