Skip to main content

TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. At $43.93, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six platforms: Capital, Growth, Impact, Credit, Real Estate, and Market Solutions. Revenue comes primarily from management fees (based on AUM) and performance... Read more

$43.93+13.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#25 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $40.71Target $49.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$54.94+25.1%16 analysts
$49.44our TP
$43.93price
$54.94mean
$75

Sell if holding. At $43.93, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)96.9
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE15.5%
Rev Growth38.5%
Beta1.53
Dividend4.72%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$95+116.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Admiral William H. McRaven appointed as independent director to the Board, effective May 1, 2026. Board increased from 13 to 14 members. Appointed to Compensation and Conflicts Committees. No arrangement with any other person.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.6
Support Resistance
3.0
Bollinger
3.5
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.14Resistance $46.60

Price Targets

$41
$49
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TPG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $43.93, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $40.71. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TPG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.44 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $40.71. Stop-loss: $40.71.

What are the risks of investing in TPG?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TPG overvalued or undervalued?

TPG Inc. trades at a P/E of 96.9 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TPG?

19 analysts cover TPG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $55.

What does TPG Inc. do?TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six...

TPG is a global alternative asset manager with $303.0 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025, organized across six platforms: Capital, Growth, Impact, Credit, Real Estate, and Market Solutions. Revenue comes primarily from management fees (based on AUM) and performance allocations (based on fund returns), serving institutional investors globally with 1,900+ employees in 16 countries.

Related stocks: ETG (Eaton Vance Tax-Advantaged Glob) · CLM (Cornerstone Strategic Value Fd) · RVT (Royce Value Trust, Inc.) · WT (WisdomTree, Inc.) · JHG (Janus Henderson Group plc)