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Blackbaud, Inc. (BLKB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.19: Leverage penalty (D/E 34.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Blackbaud provides AI-powered cloud software and services to the social impact sector—nonprofits, educational institutions, healthcare organizations, and CSR-focused companies—with products spanning fundraising, financial management, and grantmaking. Its subscription... Read more

$37.19+32.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#44 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $34.66Target $49.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$56.80+52.7%5 analysts
$49.42our TP
$37.19price
$56.80mean
$74

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.19: Leverage penalty (D/E 34.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 33%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 34.6): -1.5
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE418.7%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
5.0
Gap
5.0
Bollinger
5.6
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.95Resistance $40.60

Price Targets

$35
$49
A.Upside+32.9%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$57

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLKB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.19: Leverage penalty (D/E 34.6): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $34.66. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLKB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.42 (+32.6% upside). Prior stop was $34.66. Stop-loss: $34.66.

What are the risks of investing in BLKB?

Leverage penalty (D/E 34.6): -1.5; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BLKB overvalued or undervalued?

Blackbaud, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLKB?

10 analysts cover BLKB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Blackbaud, Inc. do?Blackbaud provides AI-powered cloud software and services to the social impact sector—nonprofits, educational...

Blackbaud provides AI-powered cloud software and services to the social impact sector—nonprofits, educational institutions, healthcare organizations, and CSR-focused companies—with products spanning fundraising, financial management, and grantmaking. Its subscription arrangements typically span three years, with approximately 40% of existing customer contracts due for renewal in 2026.

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