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BILLBILL Holdings, Inc.Sell5.4·$33.27+3.54%
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BILL Holdings, Inc. (BILL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Negative news sentiment (-1.00).

BILL Holdings provides a financial operations platform for small and midsize businesses, automating accounts payable, accounts receivable, and spend management with approximately 493,800 businesses and 8.3 million network members as of June 30, 2025. Revenue comes from... Read more

$33.27+47.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#65 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.07%
Stop $30.86Target $48.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$54.29+63.2%21 analysts
$48.86our TP
$33.27price
$54.29mean
$77

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Negative news sentiment (-1.00). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About BILL Holdings, Inc.

About BILL Holdings, Inc.

BILL processed $330 billion in total payment volume during fiscal year 2025, serving approximately 493,800 businesses and connecting 8.3 million network members as of June 30, 2025. The company generated net income of $23.8 million in fiscal 2025, reversing net losses of $28.9 million in fiscal 2024 and $223.7 million in fiscal 2023. BILL is headquartered in San Jose, California and holds money transmitter licenses in all required U.S. jurisdictions and Canada.

BILL generates revenue through subscription fees for platform access, transaction fees that include ad valorem charges on instant transfer, virtual card, and international payment products, and interchange income from BILL Divvy Cards issued via Issuing Bank partners on the Mastercard and Visa networks. The platform reaches SMBs through direct channels, accounting firms offering client advisory services, and financial institutions operating white-label integrations within business banking portals. Fraud and credit loss rates on AP/AR payments were approximately 0.01% of total payment volume in fiscal 2025, and card-related fraud and credit loss ran approximately 0.23% of card payment volume. The company competes against legacy manual processes and software providers entering adjacent product categories including payables, receivables, and expense management.

Show full overview

For a substantial majority of BILL Divvy Card credit extensions, the company purchases participation interests in receivables from Issuing Banks and bears the entire credit risk if a spending business fails to pay its card balance. The 10-K acknowledges that non-payment rates may rise during economic downturns, and the funding model for the Divvy Card program relies on warehouse facilities that could be modified or terminated if portfolio performance deteriorates, potentially restricting the company's ability to grow this product line. The company does not file UCC liens on Divvy Card balances, significantly limiting collection from spending businesses in bankruptcy.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From BILL Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — BILL Holdings, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 26, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: CTO Ken Moss and EVP/GM Payments Mary Kay Bowman departing effective June 30, 2026; each to serve in advisory capacity through June 30, 2027. COO John Rettig transitions to Chief Strategy and Transformation Officer effective immediately.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 47%
Risks
Negative news sentiment (-1.00)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA90.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE0.0%
Rev Growth13.5%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV77%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CTO Ken Moss and EVP/GM Payments Mary Kay Bowman departing effective June 30, 2026; each to serve in advisory capacity through June 30, 2027. COO John Rettig transitions to Chief Strategy and Transformation Officer effective immediately.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-07Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Workforce reduction of up to 30% announced May 7, 2026. Estimated charges $30-60 million, primarily cash severance and stock-based compensation. Majority of charges expected in fiscal Q4 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    CFO Rohini Jain additionally appointed as principal accounting officer effective March 11, 2026. No additional compensation. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
4.3
Value Rank
8.0
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)8K SERIOUS 2.05A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.52Resistance $41.57

Price Targets

$31
$49
A.Upside+46.9%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BILL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Negative news sentiment (-1.00). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.86. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BILL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.86 (+47.3% upside). Prior stop was $30.86. Stop-loss: $30.86.

What are the risks of investing in BILL?

Negative news sentiment (-1.00); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BILL overvalued or undervalued?

BILL Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BILL?

29 analysts cover BILL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $54.

What does BILL Holdings, Inc. do?BILL Holdings provides a financial operations platform for small and midsize businesses, automating accounts payable,...

BILL Holdings provides a financial operations platform for small and midsize businesses, automating accounts payable, accounts receivable, and spend management with approximately 493,800 businesses and 8.3 million network members as of June 30, 2025. Revenue comes from subscription fees, transaction fees on $330 billion in annual payment volume, and interchange income from the BILL Divvy Card program. The company achieved net income of $23.8 million in fiscal 2025.

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