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AAUCAllied Gold CorporationHold6.1·$22.84+1.60%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Allied Gold Corporation offers an attractive valuation entry alongside a constructive technical pullback in an ongoing uptrend — RSI at 39, volume accumulation, and position above the 200-day moving average — supported by an FCF margin of 24% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9; however, with only about 6% of headroom to the near-term $27.95 target and a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.86-to-1, the current setup favors patience over deploying new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Entry PointStable
  • Limited Near Term Risk RewardStable
  • Uptrend Pullback AccumulationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The... Read more

$22.84+4.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#27 of 42 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.71%
Stop $21.24Target $23.95(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth45.4%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
8.5
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.82Resistance $24.44

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AAUC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAUC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $23.95 (+4.9%), stop $21.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAUC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.95 (+4.9% upside). Target $23.95 (+4.9%), stop $21.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $21.24.

What are the risks of investing in AAUC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is AAUC overvalued or undervalued?

Allied Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AAUC?

12 analysts cover AAUC with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does Allied Gold Corporation do?Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily...

Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Allied Gold Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · HMY (Harmony Gold Mining Company Lim) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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