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AAUCAllied Gold CorporationHold6.1·$20.20
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Allied Gold pairs strong revenue growth (45% YoY) and cash generation with an attractive valuation, but it trades below its 200-day average with limited near-term upside to resistance.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Multiples→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Fcf Positive Solid Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The... Read more

$20.20+3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#29 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.32%
Stop $18.79Resistance target $20.93A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth45.4%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
8.3
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.99Resistance $21.36

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AAUC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAUC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Resistance target $20.93 (+3.6%), stop $18.79 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAUC stock price target?

Resistance target: $20.93 (+3.6% upside). Resistance target $20.93 (+3.6%), stop $18.79 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $18.79.

What are the risks of investing in AAUC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is AAUC overvalued or undervalued?

Allied Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AAUC?

11 analysts cover AAUC with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does Allied Gold Corporation do?Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily...

Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Allied Gold Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited)
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