Orla Mining is a high-conviction gold producer with an elite Rule of 40 score of 212, 169% revenue growth, and 217% free cash flow conversion, but an extreme put-to-call ratio of 22.86 and a materials cycle peak warning signal elevated near-term risk that may require waiting for a better entry.
Thesis pillars
- Revenue Growth 169pct→Stable
- Materials Cycle Peak Warning↑Improving
- Elite Rule Of 40 Quality→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $10.27 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located... Read more
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $10.27 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 5 days (≤7d hard window); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d and materials cycle peak fwd=5.3x,ratio=0.43x and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Orla Mining Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Orla Mining (TSX:OLA) Advances As Gold Sentiment Improves - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Orla Mining Ltd (HAM:O8M) Stock Price, Trades & News - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS GABELLI GOLD FUND INC's Orla Mining Ltd(ORLA) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Here's why Orla Mining (ORLA) is a great 'buy the bottom' stock now - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Is Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA) a Bargain After 5.3% Drop? GF Value Sa - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $10.27 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 5 days (≤7d hard window); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $15.81 (+67.3%), stop $9.38 (−0.7%), A.R:R 6.3:1. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.81 (+67.5% upside). Target $15.81 (+67.3%), stop $9.38 (−0.7%), A.R:R 6.3:1. Stop-loss: $9.38.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.43× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Orla Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
14 analysts cover ORLA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.
What does Orla Mining Ltd. do?Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead,...
Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 15,000 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama; and the South Railroad project consisting of an area of 21,000 hectares located in Elko, Nevada. It also holds interest in acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.