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ORLAOrla Mining Ltd.Buy Wait6.9·$10.65+2.80%
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Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $10.27. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.65. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Negative momentum.

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located... Read more

$10.65+56.2% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#7 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield14.87%
IncomeYield0.56%Payout2.08%sustainable
Entry $10.27(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $8.80Target $15.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1Setup A.R:R 8.5:1
Analyst target$18.60+74.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $10.27. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.65. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=6.6x,ratio=0.44x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)6.6
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA4.4
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE42.0%
Rev Growth169.3%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.56%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.3
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=6.6x,ratio=0.44xA.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.74Resistance $14.12

Price Targets

$9
$10
$16
A.Upside+48.5%
A.R:R3.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)8.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=6.6x,ratio=0.44x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORLA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $10.27. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.65. Engine's entry $10.27 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Target $15.81 (+48.5%), stop $8.80 (−21.0%), Setup A.R:R 8.5:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORLA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.81 (+56.2% upside). Target $15.81 (+48.5%), stop $8.80 (−21.0%), Setup A.R:R 8.5:1. Stop-loss: $8.80.

What are the risks of investing in ORLA?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.44× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Negative momentum.

Is ORLA overvalued or undervalued?

Orla Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ORLA?

13 analysts cover ORLA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Orla Mining Ltd. do?Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead,...

Orla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and exploits mineral properties. It explores gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 138,636 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 15,000 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama; and the South Railroad project consisting of an area of 21,000 hectares located in Elko, Nevada. It also holds interest in acquisition of the Musselwhite Gold Mine project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · BTG (B2Gold Corp)
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