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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.2·$17.28
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging Risk→Stable
  • Wide Moat High Quality Franchise→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $16.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.28. Engine's entry $16.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$17.28+14.7% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#4 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield12.33%
Entry $16.50(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $15.39Target $19.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$22.79+31.9%7 analysts
$19.82our TP
$17.28price
$22.79mean
$25

Wait for pullback to $16.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.28. Engine's entry $16.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=basic materials 2/3). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$9.9B
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta2.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 ceiling hits

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials 2/3Range BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.87Resistance $18.95

Price Targets

$15
$17
$20
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.6%
Max %3.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $16.50. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $17.28. Engine's entry $16.50 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window). Wait for improvement. Target $19.82 (+14.7%), stop $15.39 (−12.3%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.82 (+14.7% upside). Target $19.82 (+14.7%), stop $15.39 (−12.3%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $15.39.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited)
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