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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.1·$14.31+2.76%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging RiskImproving
  • Wide Moat High Quality FranchiseStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 7 days (2026-08-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$14.31+42.1% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#9 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield12.07%
Entry $17.59(support + ATR (held))Stop $16.24Target $20.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$23.40+63.5%5 analysts
$20.36our TP
$14.31price
$23.40mean
$34

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.4 < 4.5 minimum; Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window); SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Risks
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA4.5
Profit Mgn29.5%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth115.9%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.44bearish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Macd
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.62Resistance $17.02

Price Targets

$16
$18
$20
A.Upside+42.1%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 2.4 < 4.5 minimum
! Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window)
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $17.59 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.4 < 4.5 minimum; Earnings in 7 days (≤7d hard window); SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $20.36 (+42.3%), stop $16.24 (−-11.9%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.36 (+42.1% upside). Target $20.36 (+42.3%), stop $16.24 (−-11.9%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $16.24.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation)
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