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VMCVulcan Materials Company (HoldiSell5.4·$294.02+2.64%
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Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.02 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more

$294.02+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.66%
IncomeYield0.73%(5y avg 0.77%)Payout23.58%sustainable
Stop $276.62Target $294.05(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$326.73+11.1%22 analysts
$294.05our TP
$294.02price
$326.73mean
$198
$365

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.02 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.9
P/E (Fwd)26.5
Mkt Cap$37.2B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta1.06
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV48%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On May 11, Item 5.07. | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. ---|--- On May 8, 2026, the Company held its annual meeting of shareholders (the "Annual Meeting").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $251.92Resistance $299.37

Price Targets

$277
$294
A.Upside+0.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.02 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $276.62. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $294.05 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $276.62. Stop-loss: $276.62.

What are the risks of investing in VMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is VMC overvalued or undervalued?

Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 26.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VMC?

28 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $327.

What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...

Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.

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